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Sunday, 10 February 13
DRY BULK OVERSUPPLY OF TONNAGE SEEN WANING IN THE COMING MONTHS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
 It seems that the tide could be shifting in the dry bulk market, in terms of tonnage oversupply, according to the latest data figures. This could explain why some ship owners appear to be positioning themselves in the market, either with direct second hand tonnage purchasing or through new building orders. According to the latest report from shipbroker Intermodal, "on the dry side we are quite close to a more rational orderbook compared to the trading fleet. However, since the trading fleet has grown quite substantially over the past years, we believe 2013 will be another challenging year albeit, a good opportunity to make investments in shipping as prices have become quite attractive" it said.
Intermodal's analyst, Theodore Ntalakos noted that "the dry bulk orderbook today stands just over 1,500 vessels. Although close to 1,000 ships were delivered from shipyards in 2012 the final net growth of the dry fleet was “only” by 580 vessels. This represents a 7% increase of the fleet or 10% in terms of deadweight. Obviously the seaborne trade did not grow at the same pace. We expect the panamax/kamsarmax size to continue to be squeezed the most, since the largest percentage of the orderbook is scheduled to be delivered in 2013 bringing further good buying opportunities. On the supramax segment, the majority of vessels have been delivered, so we believe that the rates and prices are close to the bottom, hence their prices are more resilient than panamaxes", he concluded.
Meanwhile, "in the wet sector, the orderbook profile is much better. However, given that’s 2012 was yet another year of poor performance, it seems that we are still digesting the previously delivered tonnage. Obviously we are in much better position and may be closer to better days and hire rates, but with a much younger fleet. Purely from a supply side, we expect the suezmax sector to have the worst performance in 2013. However, if recovery in the wet sector comes before the awaited reduction in shipbuilding capacity and we see another spree of new orders, then the wet sector may double dip and then demolition will knock on the door of very young vessels" said the report.
Ntalakos concluded his analysis by noting that "for this broker the biggest dilemma is which sector one should chose for his investment. From which sector, size, age one should expect the better performance and healthier returns? Will try to address this in one of the next insights. Meanwhile, Gong Xi Fa Cai to all our Chinese friends and let’s see what the year of the Snake will bring us"?
Meanwhile, in the dry bulk market this week, according to shipbroker Fearnley's, "while the Panamax market is preparing for Chinese holidays next week it seems that many Chinese have already left the office for holidays. The Atlantic is weak with an oversupply of tonnage and little activity and we see voyage rates for transatlantic coal shipments are falling. TA rounds pay around USD 6-7k/day. The fronthaul market in ECSA has been more active this week, with many charterers aiming to cover positions before the holidays next week. But the list of ships ballasting towards ECSA is long as well. So the activity has not been able to make a positive impact on the rates. Going rate depends on the vessels eco speed performance, but the level is around 14k+400K del aps or around USD 7k if you take delivery in Singapore. The period market has been slow as well. Though we have seen a couple of short periods done in the Far East at around USD 7-7.5k daily" the shipbroker's report mentioned.
In the Capesize segment, it noted that "it´s been a more active week in the Pacific, with a good number of fixtures and rates for West Australia/China presently around USD 7.40. Saldanha/China is USD 13 and fronthaul is improving with rumours USD 18.50 been fixed for Tubarao/Qingdao, an improvement from last done at USD 17.80 earlier this week. The period activity is steady in terms of number of fixtures as well as a predictable level" Fearnley's concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 15 February 13
2ND ANNUAL INDONESIA MINING 2013 CONFERENCE
Bringing Indonesia's Mining Stakeholders Together Towards Improving Mining Investment Climate & Operations
Following the success of th ...
Friday, 15 February 13
SCRAPPING TO RISE AS BULKER OWNERS SUFFER - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Drewry's latest Dry Bulk Forecaster report suggests that cash-strapped shipowners will scrap younger and younger ships this year as the dry bulk ma ...
Thursday, 14 February 13
HANDY: ATLANTIC "STABLE"; PACIFIC "QUIET" - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic remain stable with rates for FH from USG around USD 18k. The Pacific remains quiet due to Chinese New Year holidays. Rates were ...
Thursday, 14 February 13
BIMCO FORECASTS MOSTLY HIGHER DRY BULK RATES FOR THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Higher steel demand is expected to keep dry bulk rates elevated during the next six weeks, according to the latest BIMCO forecast. The Organization ...
Wednesday, 13 February 13
6TH ANNUAL CBM CONFERENCE
The 6th Annual CBM conference which will be held in Singapore on 18-21 June 201 offers comprehensive insights into leading CBM projects in the Asia- ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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