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Thursday, 07 February 13
WEAK STEEL MARKET MEANS IRON ORE RALLY LIKELY TO END SOON - FITCH
The sharp rebound in iron ore prices over the last couple of months will hurt margins at non-integrated steel producers in the first quarter of 2013, but is unlikely to be sustainable due to the weak demand for steel, Fitch Ratings says. This should help margins recover later in the year.
While we expect margin pressures to abate, iron ore prices have become more volatile as supply contracts have moved from annual to quarterly or spot pricing, with volatility rising 16% in 2012. This means that both higher-cost producers and consumers of iron ore face higher uncertainty on cash flows.
Iron ore prices have risen around 30% since the start of December, while the price of semi-finished steel products has remained practically unchanged, putting pressure on profits at steelmakers that don't have their own ore supplies. The recovery of iron ore prices follows a fall to their lowest level in more than three years in September. This primarily resulted from destocking by Chinese steel mills. It is likely that the fall in prices resulted in some Chinese mines temporarily halting production, providing further impetus for a price rebound.
But the balance of power in price negotiations is likely to swing back towards steel producers for the rest of the year due to the slowing growth in demand for steel products. Steel producers are unable to transfer increased iron ore costs to customers through an increase of steel products' prices and also have limited ability to absorb increased costs by themselves due to already low operating margins. In Europe weak demand from the construction and automotive markets will lead to a drop in steel production, while in China we believe the rate of steel demand growth has peaked - although production volumes will continue to increase, the rate of growth is likely to be below 5% a year.
These trends mean we expect the ratio of iron ore to steel slab prices to remain close to the 2012 level of 0.25x, rather than the high of 0.29x reached in 2010.
Source: Fitch Ratings
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Thursday, 21 February 13
SPRING COAL PROCUREMENT 2013 IS ABOUT TO TAKE PLACE
In 2012, “Steady Growth” had set the keynote for China’s economic development. Guided by the principle of progressing steadily, do ...
Wednesday, 20 February 13
BAKRIE GROUP LOOKS TO HAVE A CLEAR UPPER HAND - LUCKY ARIESANDI, CFA
The Bakrie-Rothschild saga is entering its final stage, with Bumi Plc (BUMI LN)’s holders to convene on 21 Feb at 11am GMT to vote on Nat Roth ...
Tuesday, 19 February 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 38.65 PERCENT LESS COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 1,820,559 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 18 February 2013, Newc ...
Monday, 18 February 13
78.75 MILLION TONS OF COAL RESERVES ARE NEWLY PROVEN IN WUGANG HUNAN PROVINCE
COALspot.com - Recently, Wugang City, known as the CHINA hundred key coal producing cities, achieved new breakthroughs in coal exploration: deep coa ...
Sunday, 17 February 13
STEEL DEMAND WILL HELP TO PUSH UP FREIGHT RATES - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market has been fairly steady week ended 15 February 2013.
The BDI was slightly up by 0.67 pct closing at 753 points ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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