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Sunday, 27 January 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS: WEAK


COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.31 percent and CFR South China coal shipment  lost 0.26 WoW  as of Friday, 25 January 2013, according to the data released by AsiaClear OTC coal swaps.

A commodity swap is a financial agreement whereby a floating, or spot, price is exchanged for a fixed rate over a specified contract period.

Indonesia Sub-Bit FOB Coal Swaps
Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery has gained  0.06 percent  0.31 percent D-D and W-W respectively on Friday, 25 January 2013, according to the data released by AsiaClear OTC coal swaps on Friday. Sub-Bit FOB Indonesia coal swaps for average Q1’  2013 delivery was opened on 21 January 2013 at US$ 64.39 pmt and closed at US$ 64.59 on 25 January 2013. In the meantime, the average cal 2014  delivery price has gained just US$ 0.21 for the same period.

Average Q4’  2013 deliveries for sub-bit Indonesia coal swap was opened at $  67.00 pmt on 21 January 2013 and closed at $ 67.13 on 25 January 2013.  Average Q4’ delivery price has gained US cents 13  PMT W-o-W and US$ 0.05 D-o-D.


Sub-bit Indonesia coal swaps for Cal 2014 delivery has also gained W-o-W and DoD.

AsiaClear OTC Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap for average calendar 2014 delivery closed US$ 5.37 (+8.31%) higher compared to average Q1  delivery price of US$ 64.59 on 25 January 2013. In the meantime, the Q4’  2013 coal swap has closed US$  2.54 (+3.93%) higher than Q1 ‘ 2013 swap.

CFR South China Coal Swaps
CFR South China coal shipment for average Q1’  2013 delivery price lost 0.26 per cent  and 0.12 percent W-O-W and D-o-D respectively.

The average Q4’ 2013 delivery price has lost W-W but gained slightly D-D. The contract for the average Q1’ 2013 prices lost US$ 0.23 W-o-W and closed at US$ 85.34 a ton on 25 January 2013. Average Q4 CFR South China coal shipment prices lost US cents 35  PMT W-W, but gained US cents 5 per MT DoD.


CFR South China coal shipments (average Q1’ 2013 delivery) was opened at $ 85.57 on 21 January 2013  and closed at $ 85.34 on 25January 2013 down US$ 0.23 PMT in a week. In the meantime, the CFR South China coal swaps for Q4’ 2013  delivery  lost 0.39 percent W-o-W.

CFR South China coal swap for average Q4’  2013  delivery closed US$ 3.16 higher compared to average Q1’  2013  delivery price. The calendar 2014 coal swap has closed US$ 5.37 higher than average Q1 2013 swap.

Indonesian government has sets its January HBA at US$  87.55 for 6322 GAR coal. January’ 13 HBA, US$ 5.80 higher compared to December 2012 bench mark price. In the meantime, Energy and Mineral Resources Deputy Minister of Indonesia has forecasted that, the Indonesia coal reference price (HBA) will reach over US$100 per ton this year following potential economic recovery as showed by the recent US fiscal-cliff budget deal.

According to available data, Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter has shipped  33.578* million tons of coal in November 2012 which is around 4.45* percent lower compared to October exports.

According to our sources, 58.65* percent of Indonesia’s total coal exports in November has shipped to China and India.

Indonesia’s coal output is also expected to  increase by 1.2 percent to 391 million in this year, as cited by local media, referring minister’s quote.

The current Indonesian coal prices are showing a positive move towards north. However the correction was not a significant change to predict future trend of coal prices, as the changes are minor.

In the meantime, the Indonesian government also indicates that, the government may not introduce low GCV coal export ban by earlier next year, as planned last year. The domestic market has fails to absorb higher low GCV coal output in Indonesia.  Indonesian low GCV coal producer are highly depends on export market. In fat Indonesia produces more than 150 million tons of low GCV coal per annum. 



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