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Thursday, 27 December 12
A LOOK AT WORLD TRADE PATTERNS DURING 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
While China's leaders are likely to stick with the 2012 economic growth rate of 7.5% when they chart a course for 2013 - its weakest pace since 1999 - with Europe still in recession and U.S' demand sluggish, world trade faces considerable headwinds for 2013. According to Intermodal's Tasos Papadopoulos, "Southeast Asia has lately become an engine of global economic growth; since the Asian crisis of the mid 90’s the region "has been in the gym and working hard" and is showing much more resilience now".
The shipbroker's analyst noted that 'countries such as Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Myanmar have come out of a prolonged economic slump and are now forecast for a sustained economic growth amid increasing number of middle-income earners. The Philippines, for example, which once earned the nickname the "sick man of Asia", announced earlier this month that its GDP rose by 7.1% in the July-September period which is pretty close to China's growth levels! In other words, the Chinese economy is slowing down, while SE Asian growth is still picking up.
Investors are shifting their money towards Southeast Asian markets where strong consumer spending is expected to boost domestic demand while the region’s deca-millionairs (those earning $10 million or more) already outnumber those in Europe and are expected to exceed those in the United States within the next decade. Over the past three months, stocks in the Philippines rose 8% and in Indonesia climbed 6%. According to Dai-chi Life Research Institute Inc., $1.5-2bn was invested in the stock exchanges of Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines between late 2011 and October this year. Indonesia, which has a population of 240m - 4th most populated country in the world - offers the biggest domestic market in SE Asia and an increasing predictions that she will be ranked as the 4th largest economy by 2050" he said.
Papadopoulos added that "at this point, it is worth noting that Indonesians’ have been very active in the SnP market in 2012 acquiring modern tonnage, with notable mention going towards the ex “Nanos” (50,296dwt-blt 02) at low $ 14m, ex “Energy Angel” (77,697dwt-blt 98) at $ 12,6m or more recently the reported sale of “Pegasus Island” (77,830dwt-blt 02) at low $ 12m" he said.
According to the report, "China and Japan are also eyeing S. Eastern markets as a destination for their products and expect the region to develop further in the future. Chinese steelmakers, Baosteel Group Corp and Wuhan Iron and Steel (Group) Corp have separately invested into building steel plants in South China, while planning to export a total of 10m tons per year of steel products to the SE Asian region. JFE Steel Corp of Japan, together with Taiwanese company E-United Group, is also examining a plan to build a 3.5m ton integrated steel works in Vietnam. Formosa Plastics Group, Taiwan's top petrochemical company, is investing about $10bn to construct its first steel plant for domestic and overseas supply. The project includes the development of a deep water port able to accommodate a 300k dwt dry bulker".
Intermodal's report concluded by nothing that "we have to consider that the business environment in all these countries is of high risk. Political stability is not guaranteed and past experience should become a lesson; in Thailand, after the royal succession takes place, there is a high risk that social stability may not to be ensured, in Myanmar, the transition towards democracy - after almost 50 years of military rule - is not an easy task at all while in Indonesia a bureaucrat who spearheaded the export restrictions on natural resources might be the winner of the 2014 presidential elections...With all this in mind one might wonder what the future may have in stall".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 24 December 12
CONSTITUTIONAL COURT DECISION MAY FURTHER DELAY THE ISSUANCE OF NEW MINING BUSINESS LICENCES - TJEN SHE SIUNG
COALspot.com - In November 2012 the Constitutional Court of Indonesia issued a decision on amendments to certain provisions under the Mining Law No. ...
Monday, 24 December 12
BUNKER PRICES TO CONTINUE RISING, ALBEIT IN A SLOWER MODE, DURING THE NEXT FEW YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEW
In a recent report, US-based consulting firm Mcquilling Services attempted to forecast the course of bunker prices during the next few years, as thi ...
Sunday, 23 December 12
Q4' 2013 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP, US$ 3.40 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q1' 2013 PRICE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 1.94 percent M-M and WoW by 1.57percent but lost 0.35 ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
SECOND HAND VESSELS ENJOY HIGH DEMAND AS PRICES ARE ATTRACTIVE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the year is closing to its end, activity in the second hand vessel market has been more than high. Ship owners are looking to ...
Saturday, 22 December 12
FALL IN CAPE AND PANAMAX RATES DRAG BDI INDEX - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market further softened this week closing at 700 points (down by 10.71 pct). The cape index continued to fall and w ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Australian Coal Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
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