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Thursday, 01 November 12
CAPESIZE RATES FALL, DRY BULK MARKET RETREATS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS


It was another lackluster session yesterday in the dry bulk markets, with the industry's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) retreating by 1.63 percent to 1,026 points, still above the 1,000-point mark, but this time ever so close to retreating below it. The Capesize market was down by 1.59% to 2,419 points and as a result, average daily earnings for Capesizes were down by $398 at $16,492. This week has been characterized by the fall in Capesize rates, after the recent surge, which was caused by the rise in iron ore trade activity.

On a similar note, the Panamax index also fell yesterday by 1.26 percent, with average daily earnings down $56 at $6,330. Finally, average daily earnings for handysize ships were down $25 at$6,321, while those of supramax ships were down $116 at $7,085.

Commenting on the Capesize market in its latest weekly report, shipbroker Fearnleys said that "rates are under pressure this week; Front haul has been inactive the entire week. One of the early brazil loaders fixed and failed last week at usd 24, 50 - and later refixed usd 22,50. West australia has been active for early dates, with fixtures excess USD 11 pmt for ely nov loading. However disapointing to see ships being failed end of this week for this trade. There is certainly a stand off in the period market still, with rates softening along with the spot market" Fearnleys said.

On the Panamax front, the shipbroker added that "we hoped for some positive effects in the Pmax market after last weeks rally in the Cape size market, but this has not been the case. In the eastern hemispheres the rates has kept somewhat stable with steady flow of Indonesian coal cargoes and requirements out of Richards Bay. However signs of reduced grain and coal trading into China makes the sentiment a bit uncertain going forward. This weeks hurricane Sandy hit the USEC and caused ports and terminals to shut down. The market effects of this remains to be seen. TA´s now paying in region of 4-5k daily while the Fhauls are being fixed at ard USD 14k. In the Pacific we see rounds being fixed at ard USD 7k" it said.

Finally, in the Handy/Supra markets, Fearnleys noted that "the Atlantic market remains quiet due to a lack of cargoes and an increased supply of ships. Rates from the Continent to east Med were around USD 11k and Black Sea to Feast about USD 10k. USG-Skaw-Passero rates are around USD 11k and rates for USG-Feast about USD 18k. The Pacific market remained stable with rates mostly unchanged. For Indo-India, large eco supra´s are being fixed at USD 11k for dely Singapore. Nopac also fixed bss APS at USD 7,000 + BB USD 300k. The Indian iron ore market remains quiet with less activity on WCI & ECI. WCI-China rates are at around USD 5,000 and ECI-China around USD 4000. RBCT rv fixed at APS USD 8,000 + BB USD 200k. Red Sea fertilisers to India are being fixed in the high teens. Not much activity seen on short period and rates are around USD 9,000 for a large supra" it concluded.

Meanwhile, in the newbuilding markets this week, shipbroker Intermodal noted that there is very slim activity, "with only focus being in the offshore and cruise ship sectors. Niche sectors continue and will likely continue to be the main focus for shipbuilders as the lack of interest for conventional ship types holds amongst buyers. The recent financial report published by Scorpio tankers for the 3rd Quarter of 2012 has probably helped push the idea of “eco” designs further, however it still is a difficult position for current owners to make partly due to the effects it may cause in the market, but more likely due to the potential benefit and return such an investment could generate in the long-term. This is the most significant point and is something that will be driven further as secondhand prices continue their drop and offer a considerable discount compared to the current newbuilding prices" Intermodal said.

Similarly, Fearnleys also reported little activity this week, with "only 3 VLCCs reported at GSI from Chinese compatriot DOSCO. Some yards are now turning down newbuilding business, claiming the market prices is at loss. This could mean we see a flat price regime until market picks up" it said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News



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