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Thursday, 27 September 12
DRY BULK MARKET LOSES STEAM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The rise of the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), the dry bulk industry’s benchmark during the course of the previous week, proved to be short-lived, as this week the tide has turned once again. Yesterday, the BDI was again down by 11 points to just 752 points, dangerously close to the lows of the end of 2008, when the global trade was essentially brought to a halt. All major shipping markets within the dry bulk industry were down yesterday, with the larger vessels losing the most.
According to the latest weekly report by shipbroker Fearnleys, Capesize owners “are again turning nervous after a period of increased activity and consequent climbing rate levels. Despite an ongoing flow of particularly West Australian ore cargoes, levels again ease off as the tonnage surplus proves more than sufficient to cover positive spot volume fluctuations. With national holidays in China coming up next week, a w-o-w improvement in average daily earnings of USD 1400 (or 24%) to USD 7300 presently looks apt to stop and turn south again as both fundamental spot and paper sentiment is overall negative. Historical seasonal expectations have not convinced major players to any large extent, resulting in low period activity” the report said.
On the Panamax front, it was “yet another week of softening rates in the Atlantic. A Baltic round was reported fixed on TC at USD 500 per day for a nice/modern vessel and voyage business in the Atlantic is regularly fixed at TC equivalents below zero. Front haul is also softening; USG struggles to absorb all the ballasters from the east, last done for USG/China is 12k+200k aps. On the positive side Vale have been busy covering several iron ore shipments from Tubarao to China, but not even this seems to be able to have a positive effect on the market. The Pacific is better than the Atlantic. In anticipation of holidays in China next week fresh cargoes makes sure that ships are able to fix nopac and Australia rounds around USD 5k per day. Period market is very silent. FFA forward curve slides a bit every day and it seems we are at a point where owners rather wait with their period fixtures” Fearnleys said.
Concluding its analysis of the dry bulk markets, the shipbroker said on the Handy/Supramax front, that “yet another week with rates softening in all trades. Especially owners with ships open Continent struggle to find employment paying decent money. For trip to USG they are fetching around USD 3k, while ships open in USG are being fixed in region of USD 12k. If you´re willing to send your ship to a less paying market in the Feast you can achieve about USD 15k for a front haul with Continent delivery. The Pacific market is getting weaker with upcoming Golden Week holidays. For Indo-India, large eco Supra now fixed at USD 9k for dely Singapore. Nopac also fixed bss APS at USD 8k + BB 375k. Indian iron ore market remains quiet with less activity on WCI & ECI. WCI-China rates around USD 5k and ECI-China around USD 4k. RBCT rv fixed at APS USD 8k + BB USD 250k. Red Sea fertilisers to India are fixed high teens. Not much activity seen on short period and rates around USD 9500 for large Supra” Fearnleys noted.
Meanwhile, in a report from Citigroup released this week, it was predicted that supply of iron ore into the seaborne market will rise 15 percent in the current half, compared to the first half of the year, as both Vale and Rio Tinto are expected to increase production. Supply will climb to 470 million metric tons of the steelmaking raw material, compared with 410 million tons in the first half and 440 million tons a year earlier, Citi Research said.
In a separate report, released by Standard Chartered Bank, it was said that China will become increasingly dependent on imported iron ore propping up international iron ore prices in the next 10 years as the nation's steel demand runs high and domestic iron ore's iron content continues to shrink. China's demand for steel is expected to rise until 2025, Standard Chartered predicted, which is five years more than previous forecasts. Steel demand from the construction sector is to fall starting 2014, giving way to demand from the manufacturing sector. China's domestic iron ore cannot meet demand from the steel industry as output is tipped to remain steady in the years to come after climbing to 1.32 billion tons in 2011, which was five times the amount recorded in 2000. Standard Chartered predicted that China's iron ore output would grow 11% annually from 2012 through 2015 and begin to drop in 2016. Moreover, Chinese iron ore's iron content currently stands at 20%, down significantly from 30% in 2004 and well below Australian and Brazilian ore's 60%. Standard Chartered predicted that Chinese iron ore's iron content would sink to 15% by 2026.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 04 October 12
CAPESIZE : IN SPITE OF THE HOLIDAYS IN CHINA, RATES ARE CLIMBING UP - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Atlantic market remains quiet due to lack of cargoes and more supply of ships. Rates from Continent to east Med were around USD 13k and Black ...
Wednesday, 03 October 12
BARCLAYS'S PRICE FORECAST FOR NEWCASTLE COAL HAS BEEN WRITTEN DOWN
“ The main story in the global coal markets has been the growth in supply, with all of the major exporters adding volumes into a market which ...
Sunday, 30 September 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: MIXED TREND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for November 2012 delivery lost 0.73 percent w-o-w but gained 0.41 percent d-o-d on Friday, 28 Se ...
Sunday, 30 September 12
INDONESIA HAS NO PLAN TO CAP COAL PRODUCTION
COALspot.com - “The current low coal prices were mainly due to a global oversupply condition, spurred by numerous mining exploitations in the ...
Sunday, 30 September 12
FREIGHT MARKET UNDER PRESSURE; OVERALL SENTIMENTS ARE STILL BEARISH
COALspot.com - The freight market seemed to have lost steam and all indices were down except for cape index.
The BDI was slightly down by 6 point ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
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