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Tuesday, 11 September 12
CLOUDY AND POLICY RISK INDONESIAN COAL INDUSTRY
COALspot.com - Bahana Securities in its latest coal outlook, commented on the Indonesian coal market, with economic slowdown in the four largest coal importing countries such as China, Japan, South Korea and India and prolonged European debt crisis and the flooding of coal supplies from non-traditional seaborne exporters such as Colombia and the US, the Indonesian coal sector remains very much an UNDERWEIGHT and we expect price under performance to persist going forward.
Indonesia, the world’s largest power plant coal exporter is suffering from low coal prices since 2Q 2012. Indonesian coal big scale producers are planning to cut down their forecasts on 2012 coal production to counter the low price as well as low demand. The producers are believe that, cutting down the coal production will help them to float until the world economy conditions as well as coal market condition turns in to positive direction.
Irwan Budiarto, an analyst from Bahana Securities commented on the recent news, " Indonesian coal miners will suffer from recent news on government's plan to raise coal royalties on Mining Business License (IUP) holders, especially for Bukit Asam, which has the largest exposure to the policy since all of its concessions are under IUPs", he said in coal outlook.
He added that, coal demand will not pick up in a meaningful manner in the near term as electricity demand from China, Japan, South Korea and India, which contribute to greater than 50% of 2011 seaborne coal trades are beginning to contract, analyst said.
We note that China’s 2Q12 economic growth was below the 8 percent y-y level for the first time since the global economic crisis in 2008-09 while India’s 2Q 12 GDP growth also decelerated to 5.5 percent y-y. Meanwhile, Japan and South Korea 2Q 12 GDP were also weaker, experiencing growth of just 1.4 percent y-y and 2.4 percent y-y respectively, Indonesian based Bahana Securities said, in its latest outlook report.
According to Bahana, more damages are expected to come in 3Q-4Q 12 as heavy rains in China that boosted hydropower generation and brought down thermal power production. In the past three months, China hydropower output grew 19 -34 percent y-y while on the flip side thermal power output was down by 2 -5 percent y-y.
Bahana further said in its report, in the past three months, China hydropower output grew 19-34 percent y-y while on the flip side thermal power output was down by 2-5 percent y-y.
An analyst, Irwan Budiarto of Bahana further added, data showed that hydropower contributed 22 percent of total electricity generated in China in July 2012, while thermal power plant dipped below 80 percent for the first time since October 2010.
“ We understand that China coal imports are still growing strongly this year, however in our view this is not related to the fundamentals of coal demand but on decreasing international coal prices relative to domestic coal prices. Hence, as China’s domestic coal prices started to fall in July, we expect coal imports to decline moderately in 2H 12 as the difference between domestic coal prices and international coal prices narrows. We estimate coal price in 3Q-4Q 12 to be stable at current levels, moving in the range of USD 85-90/ton due to lack of catalysts, bringing average coal price in line with our full-year coal price forecast to USD 97/ton, Bahana noted.
The energy analysts are expecting that, the coal market will turn in to right direction around end of 1H 2013.
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Monday, 10 September 12
DRY BULK MARKET SLOWLY BUT SURELY REACHING CRITICAL STATUS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The radical consequences of the shifts in dry bulk demand and prices, especially for the most sought after commodity, concerning the industry, i.e. ...
Monday, 10 September 12
ORPHEUS ENERGY SECURES INDONESIAN COAL TRADING LICENSE
COALspot.com - Indonesian coal producer, Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) has announced today that the Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources h ...
Monday, 10 September 12
A SNAPSHOT ON THE ECONOMIC AND SHIPPING ENVIRONMENT - GOLDEN DESTINY / HELLENIC SHIPPING
The European Central Bank left its interest rate unchanged at 0.75% focusing on pushing down borrowing costs in troubled economies, Spain and Italy. ...
Sunday, 09 September 12
H213 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE TRADING HIGHER
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for October 2012 delivery lost 0.14 percent W-O-W on 7 September 2012, Friday closing but gained ...
Saturday, 08 September 12
INDO INDIA ROUTE FREIGHT FOR SUPRAMAX REMAINS STRONG - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The freight market overall remained weak and except for cape index all other sectors were down. The biggest drop was in the Panamax s ...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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