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Monday, 13 August 12
ACTIVE DRY BULK FLEET INCREASES BY 8% SO FAR IN 2012 IN TERMS OF TONNAGE CAPACITY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s no wonder that the dry bulk market has been tethering since the start of the year. the overflow of tonnage has been so enormous, that even China in its best of years, wouldn’t be able to keep up with the current supply dynamics. In fact, analysts have mentioned that it would take for a couple of more “Chinas” nowadays, in order for demand to catch up with the current fleet of dry bulk carriers. As of the start of the year, the global outstanding orderbook for dry bulk vessels stood at 2,375 ships, with a potential carrying capacity of approximately 200 million dwt tons. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Intermodal, out of the alarmingly large total of these orders, 1,677 ships of 139 million dwt were scheduled to be delivered during 2012. Under this scenario approximately 70% of the bulker orderbook was scheduled to be delivered during 2012.
With 7 months already gone by and as of 1st of Aug 2012, it is interesting to see the progress. According to Intermodal’s John Cotzias, “the active bulker fleet stands at 8,477 ships and 645mil tons of carrying capacity. During 2012 the active bulker fleet has grown by 6% in ships and 8% in total dwt. VLOC’s in 2012 have grown by 17%, Capesize 4%, Post Panamax 14%, Panamax 6%, Supramax 12%, Handymax reduced by -5% while Handysize increased by only 2%.
At the same time, Newbuilding bulker deliveries are holding strong with around 4 new ships being delivered every day (809 ships of 70mil tons dwt)!! It is worth noting that slippage (expected deliveries less actual deliveries ) was calculated at abt. 15% for the 1st Half of 2012 while it is accelerating after June, giving us a present figure of around 17%. There were 1,677 ships deliveries originally scheduled for 2012, so we could assume that if the current trend continued, there would be 1,390 ships delivered in 2012. However as the slippage rate increases and traditionally as we move towards Nov-Dec more ships are belated to take advantage of a later year of built, so we may expect that the total dry bulker deliveries for 2012 will reach a record high number of around 1,250 ships and abt. 108mil tons of extra dwt carrying capacity. Slippage therefore is estimated to reach around 23-25% for the current year” he said.
According to Intermodal, “looking into deliveries of specific bulker size segments in 2012, we have recorded 49 VLOC’s, 91 Capes, 73 Post Panamax, 168 Panamax, 226 Supramax, 13 Handymax and 189 Handysize being delivered. In 2013 the world bulker fleet will have a capacity of about 750mil tons and this is a reality that we all have to face…!” the report stated.
According to Mr. Cotzias, “there is just too much supply of tonnage that will only push further the gap between available ships for trading and available cargoes. Fleet growth for 2012 is estimated at 20%, and this increase can never be matched by seaborne dry cargo growth which may run at a mere 4-6% given best world economic conditions.
Scrapping has aided the bulker sector tremendously, as more than 21mil tons of dwt, abt 340 ships have been removed from the active fleet, this gives us around 1.6 dry bulker ships scrapped per day! Average age of the ships scrapped is now coming down to 21 years. Offered scrap prices looked rather attractive during first half of 2012 and that further assisted most owners in deciding to send more vessels to the breakers rather than seek buyers for further trading. According to our estimates abt. 500 ships of 30-31mil tons of dwt will be taken for demo during 2012 and this is approximately 6% of the active fleet. Let’s keep this scrapping going!” he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 03 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET INCHED FORWARD AT THE START OF THE WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched forward at the beginning of the new week, prior to the US holidays regarding the celebration of the 4th of July, which is ...
Monday, 02 July 12
ORPHEUS STRENGTHENS REVENUE STREAM WITH NEW ROYALTY AGREEMENT AT THE B2 COAL PROJECT
Orpheus Energy (ASX:OEG) is pleased to advise that it has executed a life of mine Royalty Agreement with Indonesian mining contractor PT Debbia Mini ...
Monday, 02 July 12
DRY BULK DEMAND TO RISE TO 3.6 BILLION TONNES IN 2012, BUT NEW BUILDING DELIVERIES ARE
In its latest analysis on the dry bulk market fundamentals, DVB Bank said that dry bulk cargo demand is forecast to rise to approximately 3.6 billio ...
Sunday, 01 July 12
AUSTRALIAS CARBON TAX - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - Climate Change
Climate change and global warming have now become buzzwords the world over. The disastrous consequences for global ...
Sunday, 01 July 12
DSP OF SGX ASIACLEAR OTC COAL SWAP'S THIS WEEKS MOVEMENTS SLIGHTLY POSITIVE
COALspot.com - SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps have recovered slightly this week and Q4 deliveries are also showing positive direction.
SGX’s ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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