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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Tuesday, 21 February 12
THREAT ISSUED ON MINERAL FIRMS AS GOVT PLANS EXPORT BAN - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post, one of the leading english news papaer in Indonesia reported that, the government has given mineral producers three months to subm ...
Monday, 20 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU
The dry market experienced one more disappointing week with tonnage oversupply and limited cargo demand that pushes earnings for shipping players to ...
Monday, 20 February 12
JATENERGY SECURES FIRST 8000-TONNE COAL SALES CONTRACT FOR JONGKANG MINES
8000-tonne contract with Singaporean buyer signed for March delivery
50% down payment due in five working days
Production continues at both Jongka ...
Monday, 20 February 12
DIAN SWASTATIKA ACQUIRES ANDALAN LESTARI - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DSSA), controlled by Fuganto Widjaja, son of Indra Widjaja, reported a 99.83% takeove ...
Monday, 20 February 12
COAL BOOM AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERN - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - The dawn of the 21st century has seen a shift in the world's commercial balance of power, with the dominance of the US, Europe and J ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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