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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Monday, 11 June 12
BAHANA FORECASTS THE COAL PRICES WILL FALL FURTHER
COALspot.com - Growing US coal supplies + low shipping costs = Asia as target.
According to Irwan Budiarto analyst at Bahana Securities, US ...
Monday, 11 June 12
ASIAN COAL TRADING COMMUNITY EMBRACES API 5 AND API 8
Press Release - The Asian coal trading community is embracing the API 5 and API 8 indexes for its swap contracts.
The API 5 index represents 5,50 ...
Sunday, 10 June 12
FREIGHT MARKET EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK FOR NEXT FEW WEEKS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to fall this week and down by 2.99 pct closing at 877 points.
The Cape index also was down by 5.78 pct closing a ...
Friday, 08 June 12
ESSAR ENERGY RECEIVES FINAL APPROVAL FOR INDONESIAN COAL BLOCK
COALspot.com - Essar Energy plc, the India-focused integrated energy company, today announced that it has received final ‘Pinjam Pakai’ ...
Friday, 08 June 12
MINISTER DENIES COAL EXPORT TAX PLAN, ENDORSES RESTRICTIONS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta post, one of the leading english news paper in Indonesia reported that, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Jero Wacik has denied that ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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