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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Thursday, 02 August 12
OIL & GAS COMPANIES TO MEET IN MYANMAR FOR UPDATES ON NEW ROUND OF BIDDING AND INVESTMENT POTENTIAL IN UPSTREAM OIL, GAS, AND POWER GENERATION
Press Release - 2nd MOGP Summit (Myanmar Oil, Gas & Power) will convene in Yangon from 3 – 6 September 2012, to unveil new round of biddin ...
Thursday, 02 August 12
DRY BULK MARKET RATES CONTINUE SLUMP AMID SLOWER DEMAND NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept on its downward path Wednesday, as the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) kept retreating to new lows. The index was down by 2.12 perce ...
Monday, 30 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE FOR THE REST OF 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In an interview with Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide, Mr. Yannis Pachoulis, President of the Hellenic Shipbrokers' Association, remains cautiously ...
Sunday, 29 July 12
FREIGHT MARKET MOMENTUM CONTINUES TO WEAK
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to soft this week with all the segments dropped and the BDI fell below 1,000 points and closed at 933 po ...
Saturday, 28 July 12
CAL 2013 COAL SWAPS ARE HIGHER COMPARED TO SEPT 2012 PRICES
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for September 2012 delivery gain 0.47 percent on Friday (27 July 2012) closing DoD but lost 0.90 ...
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
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