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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Tuesday, 15 January 13
GRANT SMITH APPOINTED GROUP MANAGING DIRECTOR OF BRAEMAR ADJUSTING
The Board of Braemar Adjusting is delighted to announce the appointment of Grant Smith as Group Managing Director of the company with immediate effe ...
Tuesday, 15 January 13
2ND MYANMAR MINING SUMMIT & OFFICIAL HOST MINISTRY OF MINES TO WELCOME OVER 200 DELEGATES NEXT WEEK
Press Release: The Ministry of Mines is hosting the 2nd Myanmar Mining Summit in Yangon on 21-24 January to unravel the local mining climate, prospe ...
Monday, 14 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.32 PERCENT LESS COAL W/E 14 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,123,312 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 14 January 2013, Newca ...
Monday, 14 January 13
THE COAL MONGOLIA - 2013 OFFICIALLY IN COOPERATION WITH TOP MINING COMPANIES
Press Release: Mongolian first mining portal site Mining.mn has already started its preparation of the International Conference “COAL MONGOLIA ...
Monday, 14 January 13
NTPC INVITES BIDS FOR 500K MT OF IMPORTED COAL
COALspot.com - NTPC Limited (formerly National Thermal Power Corporation) is the largest Indian state-owned electric utilities company called for a ...
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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- The University of Queensland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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