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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Tuesday, 14 May 13
KALIMANTAN COAL
Press Release : After a very successful conference in 2012, the second annual event will address latest market developments and address the future p ...
Tuesday, 14 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT'S COAL EXPORTS FALL 6.83 PERCENT
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,771,891 tons of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 13 May 2013, Newcast ...
Monday, 13 May 13
SGX ASIACLEAR OTC COAL SWAPS : RELATIVELY STABLE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average June 2013 delivery has gained 0.15 percent and API 8 CFR South China Coal shipment&nb ...
Saturday, 11 May 13
INDONESIA TO INDIA COAL FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FLAT TO SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com - This week the market remained flat compared to last week. BDI slightly up 0.68 pct and closed at 884 points and the cape size index u ...
Friday, 10 May 13
U.S. PRODUCED TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 18.5 MMST OF COAL W/E 4 MAY 2013
COALspot.com - U.S. produced totaled approximately 18.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a week (For the week ended 4 May, 2013), EIA said in it ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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