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Friday, 03 August 12
INDIA - LIGHTS OUT! - SALVA
The Indian power sector hit global headlines this week for all the wrong reasons. Firstly, on Monday, over 350 million people lost power across northern India, including Delhi. The following day, the lights went out again, but this time over 600 million people in 20 of India’s 28 states were affected, with the outages covering range of 3000 kilometers in the northern and eastern regions. The authorities’ response has ranged from blaming states for overdrawing from the grid, to appointing a committee to inquire into the causes of the blackout. However, these latest outages are merely symptomatic of much larger problems in India’s power sector, which has been short of power for years.
In Salva’s view, the problem does not lie within the generation sector – but with its upstream (coal supply and transportation) and downstream (transmission and distribution) counterparts. Since the generation sector was deregulated in FY03-04 to enable private participation, installed generation capacity has almost doubled, growing by 92GW or 85%, at a CAGR of 10.8%. The vast majority of this new capacity is coal-fired, which added another 18GW of new capacity in FY11-12 and a further 4.2GW in Q1’12.
However, this new power generation capacity is not being fully utilised, with plant load factors for coal declining from 79.2% in H1’11 to 75.8% in H1’12 and 72% most recently in June. Over 4.3TWh of coal-fired generation was lost in June alone due to low coal supply with a further 1.4TWh lost because of transmission constraints and unplanned outages. Given these figures, clearly thermal coal supply remains a problem. While domestic coal production has increased in 2012, it has languished in recent years, growing at around 1% (5Mt) between 2008-11, which pales in comparison against annual coal-fired power capacity growth of over 10%. Even when production is strong, which it has been in early 2012 (by Indian standards), transportation of coal remains highly problematic. Indian Railways has not been able to procure wagons in time to boost availability sufficiently. This has resulted in coal shortages at power plants and growth in coal mine stockpiles. Transport capacity remains severely constrained as capacity addition has languished at the altar of populism. Passenger traffic shares the same infrastructure as freight, causing freight such as coal to be given a lower priority.
The Electricity Act of 2003 freed up the generation sector, but the same reforms haven’t yet percolated to the transmission and distribution sectors, which are suffering from the same bottlenecks that existed prior to 2003. Transmission capacity is not being developed at the same pace as generation capacity, while distribution reforms remain a pipe dream. As domestic coal production has not kept pace with demand, power producers have used much costlier imported coal to generate electricity. However, India’s tariff framework is still lagging behind, so the State Electricity Boards require ever increasing financial support from state owned banks and financial institutions. Tariff reform is an immediate requirement. Only that will facilitate the sector’s much needed investment.
What are the implications if this is not done now?
Indian cities are accustomed to power cuts. However, increasing prosperity has increased electricity demand and, coupled with the weak monsoon this year, has caused power demand to spike. Agricultural states like Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Punjab have increasingly overdrawn power from the grids to feed the agricultural sector (which ironically is not metered as power is free for farmers) and to meet residential demand. The agricultural sector is still dependent upon the monsoon as the irrigation network is not widespread, and the weak monsoon has resulted in farmers pumping groundwater onto their fields. Generally electricity demand is low during the monsoon months (June-September) as the rains reduce temperatures. However, the rains have been weak and hence residential power demand has remained strong. This has been further exacerbated with the additional demand from the agricultural sector. State power distribution companies have not planned in advance to buy additional electricity and have overdrawn power from the grid without additional generation being supplied. This has destabilised the grid and caused it to fail.
The impact of the electricity shortages have been felt by the public at large, with a few incidents of people protesting on the road. However, it hasn’t erupted into widespread unrest - thankfully.
The implications of not carrying out reforms in the transmission and distribution sector are now apparent. Lack of adequate investment in the transmission sector will hobble the impressive generation capacity that has been developed. Lack of commercial reforms in the power distribution sector will not provide the returns or even cover the basic cost of generation. The power sector is already sick and if reforms are not carried out with the seriousness required, India will suffer further setbacks.
Source: Salva
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Thursday, 30 May 13
HANDY: RBCT ROUND WAS AROUND USD 9K + 300 BB - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
THE Atlantic market remained flat. The USG-Feast was at USD 19k and Black Sea-Feast was at USD 12k. The Pacific market remained quiet with no ...
Wednesday, 29 May 13
SHIP OWNERS KEEP ON SPENDING ON NEWBUILDINGS AS PRICES ARE DEEMED TOO LOW TO RESIST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It's been yet another week on increased newbuilding ordering activity with Hellenic ship owners appearing rathe active, on the back of attractive f ...
Tuesday, 28 May 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 9.76 PERCENT MORE COAL W/E 27 MAY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,420,366 tons of coal for week ended 0700 hours 27 May 2013, Newcastle Port Corp. said ...
Sunday, 26 May 13
AMPLE SUPPLY, LOW DEMAND KEEP COAL PRICES UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average July 2013 delivery have lost 0.07 percent and API 8 CFR South China Coal shipment los ...
Friday, 24 May 13
ENGAGEMENT WITH POTENTIAL STRATEGIC AND OFF TAKE PARTNERS ACCELERATING - REALM RESOURCES
COALspot.com - Following the recent completion of the Feasibility Study, the Realm Resources Ltd. (ASX: RRP) has focused on securing strategic ...
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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