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Saturday, 07 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET NOT ABLE TO FIND SOLID GROUND SAY EXPERTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the second half of each, traditionally looking the most active one, especially in terms of newbuildings being delivered, it's highly unlikely that the dry bulk market will be able to avoid further falls in terms of freight rates. In its latest weekly report, Intermodal mentioned that dry bulk rates "don't seem to be able to find a solid ground for correction and are stagnating at low levels especially in the bigger sizes such as Panamaxes and Capesizes. Average spot earnings for Capesizes fell significantly and reached their lowest point since December 2008 at rgn $3,500/day (today they stand above $4,000/day) due to the recent slowdown in coal imports from China and the lack of annual growth in iron ore exports from Brazil, which also have some impact on the Panamax sector, although to a smaller extent, which today stand at $7,910/day.
"On the other hand, the Supramax/Handysize sector has seen some signs of recovery, since the rates have found support by the increased movements from Black Sea grain exporters and other Bulk cargoes which use geared units for the transportation, such as steel scrap, fertilizers and sugar. At the time of writing, average earnings in Supramaxes and Handysizes stood at $13,218/day and $10,405/day respectively, which compared to the bigger size vessels, shows the unevenness and the uncertainty of the dry bulk market" said Intermodal's Yannis Olziersky.
He went on to mention that "this current distorted pattern in sport market earnings, which as mentioned above, is partly a result of demand side factors of some commodities, is also explained by the fleet supply growth. Capesize and Panamax combined fleet has grown by 7.0% from the beginning of the year, as opposed to the Handy and Supramax combined fleet growth which has risen approximately by 3.5%.
Poor freight market conditions and lack of interest on vintage second hand tonnage by further trading Buyers continue to push more units to be “beached”, despite the fact that prices have fallen substantially the last two months. This is good news for the industry as scrapping activity is necessary to continue unabated in order to be able to expect a recovery in the future. However, as we have mentioned before, this is not enough as a sharp and protracted slowdown in the pace of new buildings is also a vital and significant condition for an eventual recovery" Olziersky noted.
He added that "on the sale and purchase front, activity remains subdued in view of the poor charter market conditions, despite that prices are still falling. Opportunities on the second hand market are usually coming from Japanese owners who are genuine Sellers and disposing their units at the best obtainable prices. Additionally, other opportunities, in terms of price only, are coming from Chinese shipyards which are disposing their ppt resales for 20% less than a comparable vessel which has been built either in S. Korea or in Japan. Of course this disparity is linked to building quality, specification and consumption and is something which needs to be seriously taken into consideration prior to proceeding with such units.
In general, the present market conditions and short term prospects are negative, however during these adverse times opportunities can be found around the corner; prudent and well placed decisions may lead to oncoming successful investments; after all shipping is not a simple and temporary investment for "easy money", it’s a long term investment which need time and patient in order to gain it's returns and benefits!" he concluded in the report.
In a report last week, DVB Bank mentioned that the BDI’s average during 2011 was 1,529 points, which in turn was 44% below the 2010 average of 2,758 points. So far in 2012, the average is below 950 points and is indicative of the dire position that the market has found itself, as oversupply has “drowned” freight rates. DVB sees a sustained downward trend, stating that even delays caused by port delays and congestions and an increase in demand for dry bulk commodities, haven’t been enough to help absorb the new tonnage which is entering the market at a frenetic pace.
It’s worth noting that so far this year a total of of 529 vessels, representing 44.4 million dwt have already been delivered. Another 1,148 vessels of 93.5 million dwt are scheduled for delivery until the end of 2012. This is about 58% of the current orderbook, which stands at 2,001 vessels of 161.3 million dwt, which in turns represents about 25.8% of the current fleet. As a result, asset values as well as earnings are not expected to recover anytime soon. DVB stated that "we may see the markets bottom by the end of 2013 and remain flat thereafter. However, this is subject to owners not indulging in more newbuilding contracting if they see a seasonal spike in freight rates".
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 22 May 12
DRY BULK MARKET STEADY, AWAITING FURTHER RISE IN DEMAND WHICH IS DOUBTFUL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Traditionally, the second and third quarters of the year are the strongest for the dry bulk market, but this year, things seem to be quite subdued, ...
Sunday, 20 May 12
SPOT FREIGHT RATE DIPS FURTHER - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI was marginally up by 3 points (0.26 pct) closing at 1,141 points.
The cape index was up by 1.17 pct closing at 1,633 point ...
Saturday, 19 May 12
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS DROP US$ 2.88 PMT W-O-W
COALspot.com - Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swaps and CFR South China coal contracts for June deliveries have drops this week by 3.86 percent and& ...
Saturday, 19 May 12
INDONESIAN EXPORT TAX GIVES COAL MINERS A CHEAP RIDE: ANALYSTS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Indonesia’s policy to exclude coal from an export tax that has been applied to 14 other mineral commodities h ...
Friday, 18 May 12
EXPORT TAX WILL ERODE PROFITS, INDONESIAN COAL EXEC COMPLAINS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, A 20 percent export duty the government has imposed on 14 mineral ore products will not only take a toll on mining ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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