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Friday, 06 April 12
DRY BULK MARKET SWIFT TO HALT FALL ON RENEWED DEMAND FOR CAPESIZES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk managed to put a stop to the recent falls, which came as a result of a lacklustre demand for smaller vessel sizes. Although this trend has remained the same, the return of Chinese charterers from their three-day holidays marked a stronger demand for Capesizes yesterday, which in turn was enough to offset the lack of interest for smaller vessels and lead the market to higher ground. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was up by 0..22% to 928 points yesterday, with Capesizes gaining 2.17% on the day and reaching 1,507 points. By contrast, the demise of the Supramax market was again evident, with the relative index losing 1.66%, while Panamaxes were also down by 0.67%.
Detailing the oversupply issues which have caused the dry bulk market to retreat to such low levels since the start of the year, Intermodal’s Theodore Ntalakos said that “the freight market and other circumstances were quite convenient for many shipowners who while acting independently and rationally consulting their own self-interest, ordered new buildings even when it was clear that in the long-term the excessive tonnage would eventually suffocate the freight market. It is a real-life example of game theory that shows why two or more individuals might not cooperate, even if it is in their best interest to do so” said Mr. Ntalakos.
He went on to give an example to make his case. “Say we have one shipowner ( Shipowner A) and all the rest shipowners (Shipowner B). Each of their strategy is either to expand by ordering the new fuel efficient vessels or not to order and buy a vessel from the second hand market. We have four possible scenarios:
I. If Shipowner A orders and no one else does then he will get the benefit of new designs, and earn say $10, B stays behind and earns $1
II. If both A and B order then they lose the advantage and they earn very little - $2,
III. If no one orders then they earn moderately from their existing fleet - $5 each, and
IV. If shipowner A does not order but 'B' orders then 'A' will earn very little because the charterers will prefer B's ECO ships – A earns $1, B earns $10.
Here, regardless of what the other decides, each shipowner gets a higher pay-off by ordering new vessels:
I. If B does not order, the payoffs for A are $5 or $10 so he will always chose $10 i.e to order.
II. If B orders, the payoffs for A are $1 or $2 so he will always chose $2 i.e to order
The game is symmetric so Shipower B would always act the same way which means that both shipowers would order new vessels. Since both rational owners decide to order new vessels each receives a lower reward than if both were not to order!! So, rational decision-making results being worse off than if each chose not to order and accept to earn less. As the two shipowners can’t see what the others are doing and cannot play a cooperative game, they will decide to maximize their pay-off and always proceed with orders” said Mr. Ntalakos in a rather interesting undertaking.
He concluded his analysis by stating “we need however to point out that the new ECO ships especially with the current restrain on finance, will only be a small part of the total fleet and orderbook and it will take years to play a substantial part and drive the older vessels out of the market, so we expect owners who order such vessels with today's new builiding and bunker prices to have the competitive advantage for the years to come.
So, there you have it, Shipping is a non-cooperative game. Then why do pools exist? Even in pools if each member's interest to put the next (and succeeding) vessel he acquires into the pool and the demand is limited then the quality of the common is damaged for everybody. So like everything else in life one needs to find the proper equilibrium between cooperating and looking after one's self-interest” he said.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 17 December 11
THE FREIGHT MARKET SEEMS TO HAVE ALMOST BOTTOMED OUT AND MAY REMAIN STEADY AT THESE LEVELS CAPT REDDY
COALspot.com - The BDI and Cape index closed lower this week with BDI closing at 1,888 points (down by 1.76 pct) and Cape index at 3,572 points (dow ...
Friday, 16 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSES TRACK ON CAPESIZE LOSSES, SHIP FINANCING REMAINS TROUBLESOME - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market didn’t manage to sustain earlier gains, losing track yesterday, on reduced Capesize demand and persisting troubles in smal ...
Thursday, 15 December 11
BERAU SEES INDIA AS POTENTIAL MARKET FOR LOW-CALORIE COAL - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, Publicly listed coal mining company PT Berau Coal Energy (BRAU), the fifth largest coal producer in Indonesia, sees ...
Thursday, 15 December 11
PANAMAX HARDLY AFFECTED BY THE RECENT FIRMER TENDENCY FOR THE BIG SISTERS - FEARNBULK
Handy
The rates are more or less the same as last week. Continent/US Gulf fixing at tick below USD 10k and Gulf/Continent levels at USD 25k. Trips ...
Thursday, 15 December 11
DRY BULK RATES TO REMAIN AT CURRENT LEVELS FOR THE MOST PART IN THE COMING MONTHS SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest research note, BIMCO said that the Capesize Time Charter Average will remain at USD 20,000-30,000 per day but the tonnage oversupply w ...
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Showing 4926 to 4930 news of total 6871 |
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
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