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Friday, 16 March 12
THE PACIFIC MARKET IS FIRMING UP - FEARNLEYS AS


Handy
A slightly positive trend was seen last week in the Atlantic. Skaw-Passero deliveries fixed around USD 3k to US Gulf, while US Gulf deliveres fetched USD 13k for trips back to the Continent. Fronthual were hovering around USD 13500, while Cannakle deliveries tick above USD 12k for same. The Pacific market is firming up but seems in general little quieter today. Meanwhile, South Africa rates are climbing slightly, WC India/China iron ore rates still hovering between 13/14.00 pmt. Red Sea/India is still at low USD 20´s. Supramax rates remained strong in the east. SE Asia/China-India rates are hovering between usd15/16k.

Panamax
East Coast South America grains could be the joker for the Panamax market in the near future, with rumors of China imports rising to 56 MT this year. Fewer ballasters from the Far East fueled the optimism for ESCSA April loaders, where eco vessels now fix above 16k + 600 GBB APS. With some additional fresh mineral cargoes appearing in the North Atlantic the T/A rounds are slowly moving up to around 6k on T/C. The Pacific market seems to lose some of the positive momentum caught last week, with lack of fresh cargoes and a growing list of open positions. Levels are in the low/mid 7k range. The forward market is descending, affected by the overwhelming supply of newbuildings in all segments. Moreover, rumors and news from struggling owners keep an underlying weak sentiment and trading pace relatively slow.

Capesize
The Pacific activity level picked up without actually bringing the rate up. In fact it fell back marginally. In addition the recent flurry of short period fixing has also ebbed. It does not help that Sanko are seeking restructuring, a new cyclone is building up off Western Australia, and the Atlantic market is still inactive. The indices have continued to drop and the forward paper curve looks a lot like last year´s actual curve, indicating a lack of confidence in the market.
Source: Fearnleys AS



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