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Monday, 13 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current sentiment in the dry market resembles memories from the end of 2008, when the Baltic Dry Index closed at the level of 663 points on December 5th, 2008 .The first day of February commenced with the BDI closing at 662 points, the lowest level that the market has seen in the last 26 years and ongoing fears for the operational profitability of dry bulk players for the year ahead. During the last week, the BDI showed an upward trend by gaining for four consecutive days more than 10 points, but it is still trading below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark. Overall, the BDI closed on Friday of February 10th at 715 points, up by 10.5% from last week’s closing, with the panamax size outperforming over other vessel categories. All vessel sizes apart from handysizes showed upward movements from the trading bottom lows that hit shipping operators during the last days of January. The BPI showed a remarkable 39.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 4.1% week-on-week fall in the BHSI.
For large size vessels, capesizes, conditions remain very weak with the market needing more cargo input to absorb the oversupply headache. The Baltic Capesize Index remained almost stable, up by 1% week-on-week, by gaining 21 points from previous week, by closing at 1457 points with activity in the Atlantic market being slow from very limited cargo demand, while interest from Brazil to China is scarce. The heavy weather in the ports of Australia and Brazil, the main iron ore producers, along with the Chinese ban on the entrance of Vale’s mega very large ore capes into Chinese ports have created more downward pressure in the already fragile market given the slow Chinese steel activity during Chinese New Year.
The panamax market seems to be the first one that has shown strong signs of recovery from the end of Chinese holidays with the sentiment being improved for Atlantic traders and a flurry of period activity from firm South American demand. The BPI closed at 967 points, up 274 points, recording a remarkable increase from previous week and showing healthier average time charter earnings. For supramax vessels, condition in the Atlantic market is still in the doldrums with some improvement reported in the Pacific market. The BSI showed a better performance than capesizes by moving 6% higher than previous week and hopes for a firmer rebound in the following days. The BHSI lost 16 points by recording a 4% week-on-week decline as it seems that the large percentage of overaged vessels in this category has started to stress the market significantly and more intense scrapping activity is needed.
Will the BDI continue its upward movement? Will capesizes find a firmer support? The iron ore demand and China’s economic activity are the two key factors for the revival of dry operators.
BHP Billiton, the world's no. 3 iron ore miner, said in Reuters that fundamentals for iron ore demand remain strong, with Chinese steel making expected to pick up following the lunar New Year and with Indian iron ore supplies lagging expectations. Furthermore, Anglo American’s Kumba Iron Ore CEO Chris Griffith said that global iron ore demand is likely to improve over the medium-to-long term. Global demand for iron-ore would remain dependent on steel manufacturing in China, which accounted for more than two-thirds of demand, but which had had a relatively subdued second half during 2011. The JSE-listed miner held a positive view on the market from the second half of 2012. But over the first six months of 2012, the iron-ore market was expected to maintain its current market conditions. Zhu Hongreng, Chief Engineer of Ministry of industry and Information Technology of PRC, pointed out that China steel industry is to encounter tougher challenging in 2012 due to heightened unbalance between supply and demand arising from dwindling demand and further squeezed profit margin of domestic steel mills on rising iron ore prices.
However, the economic activity of China gives weak signs and brings some uncertainty regarding the Chinese import and export market sentiment. According to Custom’s Administration, China’s exports is estimated that dipped by 0.5% from a year earlier, the first decline in more than two years, raising fresh concerns about the impact of a global slowdown on its economy. Imports fell by 15.3%, resulting in a trade surplus of $27.3bn (£17bn) which was a six-month high. Analysts said while the closure of establishments during the Chinese New Year affected the numbers, the decline could not be attributed to the festival alone.They said that the bigger-than-expected drop, especially in imports, was worrying as it gave an indication of slowing growth. A fall of over 15% in January cannot be entirely explained by the lunar calendar, and adds weight to the view that economic output is slower than headline indicators might suggest
The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the import index for January fell to 46.9 from 49.3 in the previous month, showing slowing demand at home. Despite these numbers, analysts said the dip was likely to be short-lived and imports may start to rise in the coming months.
Even the latest statistics data reveal a strong impact of the debt crisis on China’s trading activity; we will wait to see what the first quarter of the year will bring since January data usually give a distorted picture.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 04 February 12
SUPRAMAX DELIVERY SOUTH CHINA FOR TRIPS VIA INDONESIA WERE REPORTED AROUND $ 6,000 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The markets continued to soften which dropped by almost 11 pct and BDI closing at 647 points.
The drop in BDI was mainly due to dr ...
Thursday, 02 February 12
NO RELIEF YET FOR DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Although at the start of 2012 nobody can claim that the global seaborne trade has suddenly come to a halt, quite the contrary, it seems that the dry ...
Wednesday, 01 February 12
KRISHNAPATNAM PORT - GOING DEEP TO SOAR HIGH
COALspot.com - Krishnapatnam Port now rightfully claims as the deepest draft port in India, as it has started accepting vessels with maximum permiss ...
Wednesday, 01 February 12
IN JAMBI, MOST MINING COMPANIES LACK 'CLEAR-AND-CLEAN' PERMITS - JP
More than three-quarters of the 386 mining companies in Jambi lack “clear-and-clean” certifications from the government, according to an ...
Wednesday, 01 February 12
2% OF IBPS TOTAL CONCESSION AREA CONTAINS TOTAL COAL RESOURCE OF 56.1 MILLION TON
COALspot.com - PT. Britmindo, a mine consulting firm, has finalized PT. Insani Bara Perkasa (IBP) first JORC (Joint Ore Reserves Committee) res ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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