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Monday, 13 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current sentiment in the dry market resembles memories from the end of 2008, when the Baltic Dry Index closed at the level of 663 points on December 5th, 2008 .The first day of February commenced with the BDI closing at 662 points, the lowest level that the market has seen in the last 26 years and ongoing fears for the operational profitability of dry bulk players for the year ahead. During the last week, the BDI showed an upward trend by gaining for four consecutive days more than 10 points, but it is still trading below the psychological barrier of 1,000 points mark. Overall, the BDI closed on Friday of February 10th at 715 points, up by 10.5% from last week’s closing, with the panamax size outperforming over other vessel categories. All vessel sizes apart from handysizes showed upward movements from the trading bottom lows that hit shipping operators during the last days of January. The BPI showed a remarkable 39.5% week-on-week increase in contrast with a 4.1% week-on-week fall in the BHSI.
For large size vessels, capesizes, conditions remain very weak with the market needing more cargo input to absorb the oversupply headache. The Baltic Capesize Index remained almost stable, up by 1% week-on-week, by gaining 21 points from previous week, by closing at 1457 points with activity in the Atlantic market being slow from very limited cargo demand, while interest from Brazil to China is scarce. The heavy weather in the ports of Australia and Brazil, the main iron ore producers, along with the Chinese ban on the entrance of Vale’s mega very large ore capes into Chinese ports have created more downward pressure in the already fragile market given the slow Chinese steel activity during Chinese New Year.
The panamax market seems to be the first one that has shown strong signs of recovery from the end of Chinese holidays with the sentiment being improved for Atlantic traders and a flurry of period activity from firm South American demand. The BPI closed at 967 points, up 274 points, recording a remarkable increase from previous week and showing healthier average time charter earnings. For supramax vessels, condition in the Atlantic market is still in the doldrums with some improvement reported in the Pacific market. The BSI showed a better performance than capesizes by moving 6% higher than previous week and hopes for a firmer rebound in the following days. The BHSI lost 16 points by recording a 4% week-on-week decline as it seems that the large percentage of overaged vessels in this category has started to stress the market significantly and more intense scrapping activity is needed.
Will the BDI continue its upward movement? Will capesizes find a firmer support? The iron ore demand and China’s economic activity are the two key factors for the revival of dry operators.
BHP Billiton, the world's no. 3 iron ore miner, said in Reuters that fundamentals for iron ore demand remain strong, with Chinese steel making expected to pick up following the lunar New Year and with Indian iron ore supplies lagging expectations. Furthermore, Anglo American’s Kumba Iron Ore CEO Chris Griffith said that global iron ore demand is likely to improve over the medium-to-long term. Global demand for iron-ore would remain dependent on steel manufacturing in China, which accounted for more than two-thirds of demand, but which had had a relatively subdued second half during 2011. The JSE-listed miner held a positive view on the market from the second half of 2012. But over the first six months of 2012, the iron-ore market was expected to maintain its current market conditions. Zhu Hongreng, Chief Engineer of Ministry of industry and Information Technology of PRC, pointed out that China steel industry is to encounter tougher challenging in 2012 due to heightened unbalance between supply and demand arising from dwindling demand and further squeezed profit margin of domestic steel mills on rising iron ore prices.
However, the economic activity of China gives weak signs and brings some uncertainty regarding the Chinese import and export market sentiment. According to Custom’s Administration, China’s exports is estimated that dipped by 0.5% from a year earlier, the first decline in more than two years, raising fresh concerns about the impact of a global slowdown on its economy. Imports fell by 15.3%, resulting in a trade surplus of $27.3bn (£17bn) which was a six-month high. Analysts said while the closure of establishments during the Chinese New Year affected the numbers, the decline could not be attributed to the festival alone.They said that the bigger-than-expected drop, especially in imports, was worrying as it gave an indication of slowing growth. A fall of over 15% in January cannot be entirely explained by the lunar calendar, and adds weight to the view that economic output is slower than headline indicators might suggest
The China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing reported that the import index for January fell to 46.9 from 49.3 in the previous month, showing slowing demand at home. Despite these numbers, analysts said the dip was likely to be short-lived and imports may start to rise in the coming months.
Even the latest statistics data reveal a strong impact of the debt crisis on China’s trading activity; we will wait to see what the first quarter of the year will bring since January data usually give a distorted picture.
Source: Maria Bertzeletou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 20 February 12
COAL BOOM AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERN - SUNIL K KUMBHAT
COALspot.com - The dawn of the 21st century has seen a shift in the world's commercial balance of power, with the dominance of the US, Europe and J ...
Sunday, 19 February 12
THE SPOT FIXTURE RATES WERE REPORTED AT HIGH LEVELS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - "The markets seems to holding back this week appears the momentum which picked up last week may slow down" - Capt. Reddy of ...
Sunday, 19 February 12
INDIKA ACQUIRES MULTI TAMBANGJAYA - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Indika Energy Tbk (INDY) announced that wholly-owned subsidiaries have signed a conditional sale and purchase agre ...
Friday, 17 February 12
COLOMBIA COAL PRODUCTION, EXPORTS JUMP IN 2011: GOVT - COLOMBIA REPORTS
Colombia Reports reported that, colombia's coal production jumped 15.4% in 2011 to 85.8 million tonnes versus the previous year while exports rose ...
Thursday, 16 February 12
GEARING UP FOR THE EMERGING OIL & GAS OPPORTUNITIES IN MYANMAR
Press Release - Myanmar Ministry of Energy and Centre for Management Technology (CMT) to Co-host MOGP (Myanmar Oil, Gas & Power) Summit on 28 - ...
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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