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Friday, 06 January 12
THE PANAMAX MARKET EXPERIENCED A SLOW START TO 2012 - FEARNLEYS AS


Handy
As usual after a holiday owners and charterers both try to get a feel of the market. An Armada of Supras were talking to ballast towards USG, but what seems as an oasis at this point might very well soon turn into a desert. Baltic/USG is fixed touch below USD 6k while USG positions are paid USD 24/25k for TA´s. Front hauls 23/24k p/d. Pacific market has been falling and with lot of new supplies, rates tend to sluggish. Charterers book vessels on APS basis and ballast bonus barely covering bunker costs. For Indo-India, large eco Supra can fetch close to USD 8500 + BB USD 165k basis APS Indo. Nickel ore cargoes are also less and rounds are fixed at USD 7k dely N.China. Indian iron ore market remains quiet with no activity on WCI & ECI forcing vsls to ballast to RBCT and Indo. WCI-China rates around USD 10k and ECI-China around USD 7k. RBCT rv fixed at USD 10k for vsl opening in ECI. Red Sea fertilisers to India are fixed around mid 20´s. Not much activity seen on short period.

Panamax
The Panamax market experienced a slow start to 2012 with holidays still in some countries. Lack of trading in both hemispheres and a growing list of spot tonnage made the rates slip even further. Mid week we see some more cargoes in the Atlantic which should lead to more activity, but most likely not enough to stop the downward trend this week. Most of the major charterers cleared out their program prior Christmas, and we do not expect any major upturn in the market until 2nd half of January. Tarvs now being fixed around USD 14k while the front hauls are paid around USD 23/24k level. In the Pacific the rounds are being concluded at low teens. The period market experienced some more activity at the start of 2012, as more takers are there at the present levels. Some owners are willing to give options to the periods which in turn attract even more interest.

Capesize
For obvious reasons the market in general has been quiet through the holiday season. Few fixtures were concluded last week, and those few were done at lower levels. The early new year sentiment, together with a number of vessels already in ballast has pressed the market down further. The most recent fixtures from West Australia are down from the USD 11+ level to the upper USD 10´s, with a negative trend. On the front haul, the uncovered demand remaining for January is still unclear, as China is only just back at work, but there are not many vessels that can make January cancelling in Brazil. This could keep a bit of pressure on this leg. The transatlantic market has not woken up yet. Period has been limited to some renewals in direct continuation for 12-month charter, and at flat USD 17-18k level, but this is not believed to be sustainable.
Source: FEARNLEYS AS



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