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Tuesday, 03 January 12
WHICH WAY WILL THE DRY BULK MARKET HEAD ON FIRST WEEK OF THE YEAR? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Dry bulk ship owners will be wondering which way will the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), the industry’s benchmark, will head during the first days of the new year, since it ended on a downward spiral back in late December, ahead of the Christmas Holidays. In any case, 2011 proved to be an interesting, yet quite challenging year for dry bulk owners, who will be turning their heads towards the new year with much anticipation, as to what effect will China manage to exert on demand of dry bulk goods.
According to a recent BIMCO analysis on the dry bulk market, “despite the supply-side pressure, we put our money on black and forecast that Capesize rates are going to be supported by lower iron ore prices and coal demand for Winter heating in the coming months, thus we expect freight rates to stay sensitive to iron ore price developments but above USD 20,000 per day. A key observation from BIMCO is that we believe mining companies will prefer to sell this important steel production ingredient in larger volumes rather than higher prices, as long as China appears ready to purchase” said the analysis.
It went on to mention that “in order to deliver the support needed to keep rates elevated, Chinese iron ore imports will need a level of 61.2 million tonnes in both November and December, which in turn will bring the annual total import growth to +10% y-o-y. The supporting argument that must trump the negative impact from high stockpiles and slower steel production is the pricing game. China has built a firm reputation for playing the commodity markets well.
Looking beyond the Capesize fleet and into 2012, the smaller-in-size segments are going to experience a healthy slowdown in new deliveries. Right now, deliveries are estimated at 80 million DWT – equal to a fleet growth of 11.4%; a number that is likely to get slightly inflated by vessels that were set for December delivery but end up being January deliveries instead. A potential upside may also come from Russia, if they decide to impose a ban on grain exports to stop excessive outflow of the foodstuff. This will lead to longer hauls, as African and Middle Eastern importers will have to look for alternative sources potentially further away. Should they go to the most likely exporters, Australia or Argentina, the impact on the freight markets will be most significant.
To sum up, BIMCO holds the view that the Capesize Time Charter Average will remain at USD 20,000-30,000 per day but the tonnage oversupply will eventually hit back. Meanwhile, we reiterate our forecast on the Panamax and Supramax freight rates that are likely to stay put in the USD 13,000-17,000 per day interval. Handysize rates are expected to gain traction and return to the USD 9,000-13,000 per day interval” concluded BIMCO’s chief shipping analyst, Peter Sand.
Meanwhile, in separate report on the course of second hand sales and newbuilding orders during the final week of the year, Lion Shipbrokers said that “on the dry-bulk front, an even quieter week with very few sales to report; Vintage handysize bulker HUI SHENG (37K BLT 1984/BRAZIL TRADING AS GEARLESS) has changed hands within China for $4.8 mill while gearless ice class 1A box single-decker LONE BRES (4.7K BLT 2000/HOLLAND) went to Norwegian Buyers for $2.85 mill basis annual & intermediate surveys freshly passed. In the Tanker segment, in addition to last week's report, Greek controlled suezmax duo EQUATOR & NAVIGATOR (150K BLT 2006 UNIVERSAL/JAPAN) have been committed en bloc for $44 mill each basis delivery January 2012 to clients of Principal Maritime of U.S.A. Two ex-Dr Peters controlled aframax/LR2 tankers were sold at auction. DS PERFORMER & DS POWER (109K BLT 1999/2000 DALIAN/CHINA) were sold for $15 mill each in auctions in Aruba & Rotterdam respectively, hearing both were bought by the Mortgagee bank, while others suggest by clients of Clearwater. Stainless steel chemical tanker ORIENTAL WISTERIA (12.5K BLT 2001/JAPAN) is reported committed to Chinese Buyers for $10.7 million” said Lion.
On the demolition market, it mentioned that “the news that Bangladesh will most probably re-open around 12th to 14th of January have put smiles upon Shipowners' faces, hoping that competition will push demo-rates above $500 levels. Most notable sale this week is container vessel BUXMASTER (LDT 6.837T, 23K BLT 1986/GERMANY) committed for the bullish price of $508 to India without having any extra features like extra bunkers/propeller or tailshaft to justify this level. The subcontinent's sentiment is positive and prices are ranging at $450 for Bulkers, $475 for tankers & $475 for Container/Tweendeckers. In other major demo-markets, China has improved paying $430 per lt, while Turkey is stable paying $330-335 per lt” concluded Lion Shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 01 January 12
IS INDIA FOLLOWING INDONESIA TO STANDARDIZE COAL PRICES TO GET MAXIMUM BENEFITS?
COALspot.com - Coal India limited, an Indian state owned and world largest coal producer has introduced gross calorific value (GCV) based pricing me ...
Saturday, 31 December 11
GLOBALCOAL NEWC INDEX SURGED 2.32 PERCENT
COALspot.com - globalCOAL index in Newcastle Port, benchmark for Asian market, ended substantially higher, surged 2.32 percent to US$115.47 per ...
Saturday, 31 December 11
BORNEO LUMBUNG TO BUY BUMI STAKE, SWAP CEO - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe, one of the leading english news paper in Indonesia reported yesterday, shareholders of Indonesian coking coal miner Borneo Lumbun ...
Friday, 30 December 11
CENTRAL GOVERNMENT SHOULD ISSUE PERMITS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, business associations from both the palm oil and mining sectors have suggested that the central government should re ...
Thursday, 29 December 11
NEW VESSELS DELIVERED ARE FLOODING THE OCEANS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As expected 2011 has been the year that newbuilding deliveries peaked and kept "flooding" the market, thus supressing freight rates and er ...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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