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Tuesday, 20 December 11
THE COAL IMPORT INTO CHINA WAS QUIETER AS COAL STOCKS WERE AT HIGH LEVELS - BRS


The BDI ended the week at 1888 points (-1.8%), the BCI corrected to 3572 (-3.4%), the BPI was up at 1,775 (+3.6%), the BSI dropped to 1193 (-3.0%) and the BHI down to 588 points (-2.3%).

Capesize
After peaking at just under $33,000 per day last Monday, the Capesize 4TC experienced a steady slide during the week, with a notable reduction in cargoes in the run-up to the holidays. As a result, Tubarao-China rates fell below $30 again, while the Pacific dropped under $13. Overall however the correction was not too severe – the BCI dropped 3% w-o-w - and while there was a decline at the start of the week it was relatively modest. The coming days are not expected to be eventful, but while January FFA prices climbed $3,000+ over the week, there is still a sharp drop anticipated in the paper market in the New Year, with December’s levels in the $30,000s dropping to the $20,000s in January.

Panamax
The 4TC average gained $500 this week to close at $14,200 per day. The Pacific showed a surge of $1,000 per day mainly due to firm grain activity out of Nopac and ECSA (attracting ballasters from the east). The coal import into China was however quieter as coal stocks were at high levels. On the other side, the Atlantic gained $400 Friday to Friday and closed at $15,800 per day. This basin was relatively stable with a balance of ships and cargoes; a premium of more than $1,500 per day compared to the TA round was paid for some earlier vessels able to make the USG within December. The Indian Ocean was quiet and the India/China route was paying $14/14.50 pmt and on the short period front, the market remained at the same level as last week, paying around $12,500 per day for LME 74,000 dwt delivery North China redelivery worldwide.

Supramax/Handy
The Baltic Supramax Index went down by 37 points to finish at 1,193 points last week, while the average of the time charter routes lost about $381 daily to finish close to $13,000 per day. In the east, the market showed more activity, but not enough to support the market. There was a slight improvement in the rates from India to China which fixed at $10,000 daily. Indonesia to India and Nopac remain steady respectively at $8,000 plus equivalent bb and $7,500 daily. In the Atlantic, the USG to Med rate declined, with Supramax getting fixed at $24,000 daily, while USG to Far East was done below $30,000 daily. The market was sustained by a few requirements ex ECSA to Far East in the very high teens and interest for short period at low-mid $11,000 daily, delivery east redelivery worldwide. On the smaller sizes, the Baltic Handysize index went down by 14 points to finish at 588 points while the time charter routes lost $172 to reach $8,425 daily. The market in the east revealed more scrap/steels cargos from north to south east Asia at $5,500 per day, which helped to release a bit of pressure on the rates. In the Atlantic a lack of cargos ex Black Sea, Continent and USG drove the rate down. Med/Cont to USG was worth $7,000, and USG to Cont $15,000. However, activity was supported with more grain cargos ex upriver to Med getting fixed at $15,000 daily.
Source: Barry Rogliano Salles



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