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Thursday, 08 December 11
CAPESIZES LIFT DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


Capesize vessels yesterday helped lift the dry bulk market which had been falling since the start of the week on lower cargo demand. As a result the industry's benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was up marginally yesterday to 1,849 points. Capesizes were higher by 0.53% on the day, but apart from that, no other ship type was able to stage a recovery. This has been the case for some time now.According to the latest report from shipbroker Fearnleys, commenting on the Capesize market it said that there were "mixed signals as average spot levels for this segment improve 5% w-o-w to USD 29,600 but struggle to break the USD 30k/day-barrier. Significant Chinese congestion have put Australian miners under pressure to pay up for very prompt positions as ships delay and fall out of schedule - whilst just slightly later positions are ignored or at best valued at more than 5% less. Atlantic appears tight on prompt tonnage, with a resultant USD 31.50 pmt reported concluded for PDM/S.Korea. Paper values support increased period fixing, with relevant conclusions including 170k dwt China prompt for 4-6 months at USD 20k, 177k dwt China prompt for 12-18 months at USD 17k" said Fearnleys.

In a separate report, Shiptrade Services mentioned that "Capesize rates in the Atlantic basin increased as an effect of the improvement on the Fronthaul trips. Rates for trips to F.East concluded at USD 52.000 per day, while rates for Transatlantic round concluded at USD 29.500 per day. On the Tubarao/Qingdao trade rates increased at USD 28.80-29.00pmt.

In the Pacific basin, there was higher level of activity from the Atlantic with the iron ore majors fixing around 12-15 vessels, and rates for the Australia/China trade fluctuating between USD 11.30 – 12.50pmt, while some rumours saying that a few fixtures concluded close to USD 13.00 pmt. On TCT basis, rates for Pacific round also improved and concluded at USD 25.000 per day basis N.China delivery" said the Piraeus-based shipbroker.

Detailing the current state of the Panamax market, Shiptrade Services said that "the week began as previous week ended, with rates moving downwards. In the Atlantic basin there were not many fresh cargoes in the market and tonnage started building up. Many Owners preferred to fix their vessels for 2/3 laden legs at rates around USD 15.500-16.000 per day, while there were also some vessels ballasting towards USG. At week’s end, rates for trips ex USG to F.East concluded at USD 26.000+600.000 GBB basis APS USG, while on the standard Fronthaul rates concluded at USD 25.000per day. For those who preferred to remain in the Atlantic, rates for Transatlantic round concluded at USD 15.500per day.

In the Pacific basin there were not many Indonesian coal cargoes and the tonnage availability was getting larger day by day. Some vessels in S.China/ S.E.Asia claimed that they were holding between USD 8.000-10.000 for one trip via Indonesia with coal. On the other hand, we witnessed some fixtures reported ex N.China for a trip via Nopac at rates between USD 10 - 11.250 per day, while rumours say that another vessel was fixed USD 12.750 per day basis N.China delivery ( Calipso, 73.691/05’)" said Shiptrade in its report.

Meanwhile, Fearnleys mentioned that "the Panamax market has experienced the same steady but slow decline in rates as last week. In the Atlantic we see a steady flow of new cargoes entering the market, but to the same extent a growing list of available tonnage to lift same. Tarvs are being fixed in region of USD 15k while shorter Baltic rounds are being fixed at around 16k. In the Pacific rates are sliding and Indo rounds getting fixed at very low rates and even below USD 10k. The period market has been less active this week with a huge gap between owners and charterers, but some interest has been shown for index linked deals" said Fearnleys.

On the Supramax front, Shiptrade said that the "market in the Atlantic basin managed to remain more or less steady, but activity decreased. Still USG region pays the most with rates for trip to continent/East Mediterranean remaining at USD mid 20’s per day, while for trips to F.East fixtures reported at USD low/mid 30’s per day. Ex Continent, rates for trips to East Mediterranean/ Bl.Sea concluded at USD low 20’s per day. On the Fronthaul trade, rates for trips ex Continent concluded at USD low/mid 20’s per day, while trips ex Bl.Sea via G.O.A concluded at USD very high 20’s per day.

Pacific basin saw rates decreasing as there was not so much cargo volume to cover the tonnage supply, and soon the available cargoes covered. Positions in S.China/S.E.Asia interested for Indonesian coal to China were fixed at rates around USD 6-7.000per day. On the other hand, for the N.China positions, there were not many cargoes ex NOPAC, and many Charterers were offering something around USD 2-4.000 per day for Indonesia round, or something around USD 6-7.000 per day for trip to India" concluded Shiptrade.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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