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Thursday, 01 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET RISES TO NEW HEIGHTS ON RENEWED DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


The dry bulk market has kept on rising this week, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) climbing to 1,846 points on Wednesday, up by 0.98%. Most notably, after a week of not much to cheer for, Capesize owners have now seen their vessels fetching rates of one-month high, with the Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) rising by an impressive 3.13% yesterday to reach 3,298 points.In its latest weekly report, commenting on the Capesize market, shipbroker Fearnleys said that "it has been a more active week with improving rates. It has been mainly spot activity in the Far East which has resulted in positive index every day. RTS, BHP and FMG all were in demand for early ships for West Australia to China and present levels are presently in the mid/high USD 12s. This has also resulted in improved fh rates; Tubarao/Qingdao presently in the low USD 28s. It is expected we are presently in the beginning of the last rush before Christmas, the question is for how long it will last" said the shipbroker.

Still, up until Monday it was a slow start with not much activity across both basins. According to a separate report from Shiptrade Services, "the Atlantic basin was not very active and levels softened, especially for the Transatlantic round. Rates for Transatlantic rounds concluded at USD 27.000per day, while on the Fronthaul trade, rates for trips to F.East, concluded at USD 48.000per day. On the Tubarao/Qingdao trade rates also dropped and eventually concluded at USD 27.25pmt. In the Pacific basin, there was higher level of activity from the Atlantic with the iron ore majors fixing around 10-12 vessels, and rates for the Australia/China trade fluctuating between USD 10.75 - 11pmt. On TCT basis, rates for Pacific round just slipped a bit and concluded at USD 20.750 per day basis N.China delivery" said the shipbroker.

Panamaxes were underperforming on Wednesday with the BPI (Baltic Panamax Index) losing an additional 1.31% on the day, to 1,727 points. Fearnleys noted that τhe Panamax market has experienced a steady but slow decline in rates since last week. In the Atlantic we see a steady flow of new cargoes entering the market, but to the same extent a growing list of available tonnage to lift same. Seems owners are more reluctant to take their vessels to the Feast and thus the Fhaul rates are picking up to the region of USD 26k while the Tarvs are being fixed in region of USD 15/16k. In the Pacific we still see a good amount of Aussie and Indonesian coal, but the list of available tonnage out numbers the cargoes, thus the rates are still slipping. Pac rounds are being fixed around 10/11k. The period market has been more active lately with some good longer period fixtures being reported. Levels are ranging between USD 12k and 12.5k depending on size and delivery for 12 months period” said the shipbroker.

Similarly, Shiptrade noted that after a week of improved activity, market turned into a negative sentiment. In the Atlantic basin there were not many fresh cargoes in the market and some Owners preferred to fix their vessels for 2 laden legs, while there were also some vessels ballasting towards USG. At week’s end, rates for trips ex USG to F.East concluded at USD 26.000+700.000 GBB basis APS USG, while on the standard Fronthaul rates concluded at USD 25.800per day. For those who preferred to remain in the Atlantic, rates for Transatlantic round concluded at USD 16.500per day. In the Pacific basin there were not many Indonesian coal cargoes and the available tonnage looking for employment was building up. Some stems ex Australia and Nopac came up and fixtures reported at USD 12.000 per day basis N.China delivery. Some vessels in S.China/ S.E.Asia claimed that they were holding USD 13.000 for one trip via Indonesia with coal” said Shiptrade.

Finally, on the Supramax front, the broker mentioned that “in the Atlantic basin, still USG region pays the most with rates for trip to continent/East Mediterranean remaining at USD mid/high 20’s per day, while for trips to F.East fixtures reported at USD low/mid 30’s per day. Rates for trips ex Continent/ Bl.Sea to F.East were around USD mid/high 20’s per day.

Pacific basin saw rates decreasing as there was not so much cargo volume to cover the tonnage supply, and soon the available cargoes covered. Positions in S.China/S.E.Asia interested for Indonesian coal to China were fixed at rates around USD 6-7.000per day. On the other hand, for the N.China positions, a few cargoes ex NOPAC concluded at rates around USD 8.000per day, while a few Owners willing to develop Indonesia round with coal could see around USD 4-5.000 per day” concluded Shiptrade.
Source:Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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