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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 15 February 12
HBA FOR FEB 2012, CLIMBS 2.09 PERCENT AND REACHED US$ 111.58 PER TON
COALspot.com - The Indonesian coal reference price for February climbs 2.09 percent to US$111.58 per ton after losing past three months. ...
Monday, 13 February 12
WEEKLY DRY MARKET OVERVIEW - MARIA BERTZELETOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The current sentiment in the dry market resembles memories from the end of 2008, when the Baltic Dry Index closed at the level of 663 points on Dece ...
Sunday, 12 February 12
INDONESIA HAS ISSUED A REGULATION TO BAN THE EXPORT OF UNPROCESSED MINERALS AND METALS BY 2014
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has finally issued a ministerial decree (7 Year 2012 dated 6 February 2012) to ban the export of unpro ...
Sunday, 12 February 12
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX CLIMBS 10.51%
COALspot.com - "The markets touched record lows not seen since mid 80’s. However there was some good news with signs of market recovery a ...
Saturday, 11 February 12
A SNAPSHOT ON THE ECONOMIC AND SHIPPING ENVIRONMENT - GOLDEN DESTINY
The week was highlighted with intense worries in the eurozone for Greece to secure its second bailout of $130billion by applying a ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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