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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 15 March 12
RESOURCE ALAM FY11 PROFIT UP 171% - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal mining company PT Resource Alam Indonesia Tbk (KKGI) reported a 171.16% jump in net profit last year on the back ...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
GLOBAL THERMAL TRADE FLOW CHANGES WILL ENSURE SECURITY OF THERMAL COAL SUPPLY, ALBEIT AT A HIGH PRICE - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie Says Global Thermal Trade Flow Changes Will Ensure Security of Thermal Coal Supply, Albeit At a High Price Seaborne thermal demand by ...
Wednesday, 14 March 12
COKAL TAKES ANOTHER STEP IN DEVELOPING INFRASTRUCTURE TO FACILITATE METALLURGICAL COAL PRODUCTION
Global coal group, Cokal Limited (ASX-CKA), has signed Memorandums of Understanding (MoU’s) to develop two river ports and two small scale coa ...
Tuesday, 13 March 12
CLARIFICATION OF GR 24 OF 2012 REQUIRING DIVESTMENT OF FOREIGN OWNERSHIP OVER TIME
ASX Announcement
Global metallurgical coal group, Cokal Limited (ASX-CKA), is responding to the recent announcement of the Indonesian Ministry of ...
Tuesday, 13 March 12
EUROPEAN COAL CONTANGO: FURTHER STEEPNESS REQUIRED TO MAKE LARGE SCALE PHYSICAL TIME SPREAD ARBITRAGE MORE ATTRACTIVE - MISWIN MAHESH, BARCLAYS CAPITAL
COALspot.com - "With the contango between the Y+1 and M+1 ARA delivered contract now averaging above the $14/t level, there is an increasing in ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
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