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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 08 June 12
MINISTER DENIES COAL EXPORT TAX PLAN, ENDORSES RESTRICTIONS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta post, one of the leading english news paper in Indonesia reported that, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Jero Wacik has denied that ...
Friday, 08 June 12
NO IMMEDIATE IMPACT ON ADARO'S RATING FROM BEP TRANSACTION - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has said that PT Adaro Indonesia's (Adaro, 'BB+'/ Stable) ratings are not immediately affected by its parent PT Adaro Energy Tbk's ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS FOR 10 STRAIGHT SESSION ON OVERSUPPLY PROBLEMS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A resurgence of oversupply, coupled with national holidays in various parts of the world has contributed to yet another fall of the dry bulk market ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
COAL EXPORT TAX NOT RATIONAL: MINISTER - THE JAKARTA POST
Trade Minister Gita Wirjawan has criticized as irrational the idea to restrict coal exports by imposing an export tax, According to The Jakarta post ...
Thursday, 07 June 12
BY 2022 PLN IS EXPECTED TO BURN AROUND 125 MILLION TONS OF COAL
COALspot.com - Indonesia's state owned electricity company's (PLN) coal consumption is expected to reach 125.7 million tons by 2012.
Nur Pamudj ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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