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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 22 August 11
MACRO ECONOMICS - PETER SAND BIMCO / HELLENIC SHIPPING
The US is jeopardising the global recovery as job creation remains top challenge across the board.
Global economy: While growth in most emerging ...
Sunday, 21 August 11
SUPRAMAX AVAILABILITY WAS TIGHT DUE TO UPCOMING RAMADAN HOLIDAYS
COALspot.com - The financial markets have been in turmoil with all major stock exchanges down and uncertainty prevails. However the shipping market ...
Sunday, 21 August 11
TUAH TURANGGA ACQUIRES DUTA NURCAHYA
Coal miner PT Tuah Turangga Agung, a wholly owned subsidiary of PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) via PT Pamapersada Nusantara), has agreed to acquire 6 ...
Friday, 19 August 11
INDIAS CICTL HAS ACHIEVED ONE MILLION TONS OF DISCHARGE
COALspot.com - Chettinad International Coal Terminal (CICTL) in Ennore port, a state of the art mechanized coal terminal, which was inaugurated on 28t ...
Friday, 19 August 11
AUSTRALIAS' ATH TO ACQUIRE 60% OF APUAH COAL MINE IN INDONESIA
COALspot.com - Australian listed company, Atech Holdings Limited (ATH) has entered into a conditional binding term sheet to acquire 60 percent stake ...
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- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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