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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 06 September 11
SEMEN GRESIK TO ACQUIRE COAL MINE FOR RP. 1 TRILLION
COALspot.com - PT Semen Gresik Tbk (SMGR) is planning to acquire a low calorific value coal concession (IUP). According to Semen Gresik, the coal mi ...
Tuesday, 06 September 11
DRY BULK MARKETS RALLY POWERS THROUGH TO NEW WEEK, BUT A CORRECTION COULD BE OVERDUE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market’s freights rates kept leaping forwards during the beginning of the week, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic D ...
Monday, 05 September 11
TNPL POSTPONES BID OPENING UNTIL 12 SEPTEMBER 2011
COALspot.com - TNPL has postponed submission of the offer until 12 September 2011 on request from the supplier, an Indian trader said.
Due to Ram ...
Monday, 05 September 11
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK PRICE - ANALYSIS
Analyst : Sunil K Kumbhat
COALspot.com - As a part of the Government’s efforts to stop transfer pricing abuses which have resulted in the los ...
Saturday, 03 September 11
FEW SHIPS REPORTED FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued the upward trend during last week with BDI up by about 13 pct closing at 1,740 points and cape index up ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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