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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Friday, 23 September 11
UT TO PRODUCE 7 MMT OF COAL BY 2012
PT United Tractors Tbk is targeting a 7 million tons of coal production next year, a 55.55% increase from 4.5 millions targeted this year, said Pres ...
Friday, 23 September 11
RECORD RECYCLING ACTIVITY STIRS OPTIMISM IN DRY BULK SAYS BIMCOS ANALYSIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
As expected at the start of the year, dry bulk ship owners were expected to flock scrapyards around the world, in order to take advantage of attract ...
Friday, 23 September 11
PANAMAX EXPERIENCED A SOFTENING IN RATES - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Still a good boost of fresh cargoes entering the market. Vessels in Black Sea with GOA clearance and Baltic positions are fetching tick abov ...
Wednesday, 21 September 11
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS FROM INDONESIA FALL, CHINA BUYS MORE
COALspot.com - Indian coal imports from Indonesia fall to below 6 million tons in August, and this fall was continuing last few months. Ho ...
Wednesday, 21 September 11
2ND ANNUAL SHALE GAS SUMMIT
2nd Annual Shale Gas Summit 31 October – 3 November 2011 JW Marriott Hotel, Hong Kong
According to a recent EI ...
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- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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