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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 12 October 11
CAPESIZE - A SURPRISE JUMP IN RATES - BRS
There was a surge across all sizes last week, resulting in the BDI gaining 101 points to end the week at 2,000 points (+5.3%). The BCI reached 3,218 ...
Wednesday, 12 October 11
CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES BOUND TO RETREAT FROM 2011 HIGHS ON THE BACK OF TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY SAYS BIMCO
According to Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping, with the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) breaking yet another 2011 high yesterday and ending the se ...
Tuesday, 11 October 11
GLENCORE, SUITOR FOR BUMI PLC? - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, the largest commodities trader in the world, Glencore International Plc, is considering an opportunity to acquire a m ...
Tuesday, 11 October 11
RENUKA COALINDO BUYS JAMBI COAL
PT Renuka Coalindo Tbk, formerly PT Allbond Makmur Usaha Tbk plans to acquire PT Jambi Prima Coal holder of mining concession in Pauh, Sa ...
Monday, 10 October 11
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL TO BE THE NEW PIRACY HOTSPOT FOR THIS YEAR SAYS MARITIME SECURITY EXPERT - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The Mozambique Channel, as well as the entrance to the Persian Gulf, are expected to become some of the new pirate hotspots for piracy, says Richard ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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