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Friday, 25 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOSING STEAM, FAST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It’s been a week of falls for the dry bulk market this one, leaving ship owners with a sour taste in their mouths, as evidence of a recovery is not visible in the horizon. This latest negative trend is actually proving those analysts, that had predicted a slowdown in the market before the year’s end, right. They were arguing that the current balance between demand and supply is in favor of demand, with the flurry of new building vessels being such, that it couldn’t be absorbed by the market. At the same time, shipyards around the world are speeding their deliveries, a sort of «tradiiton» during these past few years.
As a result, yesterday the Baltic Dry Index, the industry’s benchmark was down by another 0.87% to 1,814 points. As was the trend mid-week, all major dry bulk ship segments were on the red, with the Capesizes setting the trend. The larger Capesize ships lost 1.33% yesterday, with the relative Baltic Capesize Index (BCI) now standing at 3.042 points. Similarly, Panamaxes were down by 1.03% to 1,822 points, while Supramaxes lost an additional 0.14%. "With demand still weak as being indicated by negative developments in steel price futures and expected to moderate further in seasonally low 1Q, we believe the capesize rally in 2H11 primarily on back of robust steel production and Chinese inventory build-up could reverse as trend reversal occurs," RS Platou Markets said, quoted by Reuters.
In a recent analysis, Tasos Papadopoulos from shipbroker Intermodal said that “shipping’s obvious dependence upon China and her extraordinary growth highlights the importance of understanding China's resource-based foreign policy and its priorities. China has only begun to build out its renewable energy program, its urbanization efforts are perhaps only 30 or 40 per cent complete-bringing its masses of rural workers into the modern urban world- and even greater stockpiles will have to be accumulated for the coming years. Chinese are relentlessly long-term thinkers and have proven themselves remarkably good at achieving goals set in past five and ten-year plans.
Nowadays, almost everyone accepts that fossil fuels (oil, coal, natural gas) are in short supply and not long-term solution to power the world's economy. It was a mistake to take fossil fuels for granted and today it is a mistake to take virtually any material for granted. Therefore, CCP (Chinese Communist Party) has a stated goal to generate 15 to 20 per cent of its primary energy consumption from alternative energies (wind, solar, hydro and nuclear) by 2020. China, having early realized this fact, is rapidly accumulating a lion's share of metals that are critical for a switch to renewable energies such as silver, copper, zinc and the so-called rare earth elements (neodymium, indium, europium, cerium, lanthanum etc). It is clear that China is moving forward as quickly as it can to obtain these essential materials before the developed world mobilizes with the same goal. In this sense, Chinese mine copper in the world's most dangerous places (China Metallurgical Group Corp, a state-owned conglomerate, paid $3.4 billion for the rights of Aynak copper field, one of the biggest foreign investment in the history of Afghanistan), have made infrastructure-deals in order to secure long-term supplies of resources with at least 35 African countries, and signed notable aggressive agreements with Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Argentina in order to gain access to Latin America's mineral wealth” said Mr. Papadopoulos.
He went on to state that “China's over spending on infrastructure is a significant down payment on their long-term plan described above which incorporates a major goal: A better life for its populace. A large percentage of the population still living in the countryside and farming in a traditional communal-style manner, but it’s estimated that "China's rural population will shrink from the current 900 million to 400 million in 30 years". There are already newly built cities that have roads, buildings, mass transit systems and indeed everything but residents! The benefits on the world trade, when these cities will be inhabited, are obvious. Just to mention that China currently only has around fifty cars per thousand people. In the Western world, not only does there seem to be no such strategic plan to secure resources but also China is in far better financial shape and flexibility, with its huge trade surplus, in comparison with the indebted anaemic economies of USA, Japan and Europe. China has identified the truth that if you solve "energy" you solve most other problems. If oil goes up, so does the cost of delivering iron ore, so too does the cost of mining coal and so do the price of finding more oil” concluded Intermodal’s Tasos Papadopoulos.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 01 November 11
DRY BULK MARKETS CORRECTION SPILLS OVER ONTO NEW WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market is losing steam, as evidenced by the falls experienced last week, which were also apparent at the beginning of the new week. A l ...
Monday, 31 October 11
CHINAS HUNGER FOR INDONESIAN COAL AT THREE YEAR-HIGH AS WINTER NEARS - JOSEPH KIRSCHKE
COALspot.com - Chinese demand for power-station coal from Indonesia has soared to its highest level in three years, as central heating plants and po ...
Saturday, 29 October 11
ATLAS RESOURCES SEALS US$95 MIO LOAN - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal producer PT Atlas Resources Tbk, that is controlled by Indonesian businessman Andre Abdi, has secured US$95 mill ...
Saturday, 29 October 11
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT LIKELY TO REMAIN SOFT
COALspot.com - The market continued to slow down and all segment were down this week.
The biggest drop was in the Cape Index down by 8.19 pct&nbs ...
Friday, 28 October 11
RISING COAL PRICES TO WORSEN CHINA'S WINTER POWER CRUNCH - CRI ENGLISH
CRI English reported that, the rising price of coal is fueling concerns about a power crunch set to plague China this winter, analysts said.
The ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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