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Thursday, 15 September 11
DRY BULK MARKET EDGING FURTHER UP THE SCALE, CLOSING IN ON 2,000 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


The dry bulk market was up once again yesterday, reaching 1,927 points, or 1.375 higher on the day. Thus, it has kept its rising trend established during the past few weeks, on stronger dry bulk demand and Chinese iron ore restocking. All major ship markets were higher yesterday, with Panamaxes being the “stars” of the show, moving forwards by 1.4% to reach 1,735 points (Baltic Panamax Index), while the Capesize market was up by a further 1% to 3,342 points.

According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Fearnley’s, issued yesterday, “it was another good week for capesize owners, with continuing high activity from both major miners and operators with short positions. This is particularly felt in the Atlantic basin, where spot supply/demand is presently very finely balanced and the relevant w-o-w improvements are 22% for transatlantic respectively 19% for fronthaul trades. Average daily spot earning are up 22%, coming in at a respectable 29k. Paper/forward levels have followed suit, resulting in good period activity - latest exemplified by 180kdwt n/b delivering ex yard November 2011 at a reported USD 16,500 for 2 years with an option for a 3rd year, and 180kdwt/built 2010 delivery China Sept fixing 4-6 months at USD 18,500” said Fearnley’s. In a similar report, shipbroker Shiptrade Services mentioned that the capesize market continued the upward movement, with Capesizes leading the way. “Atlantic basin seemed tight for prompt tonnage. Rates increased further, and at week’s closing fixtures reported at USD 26.000 per day Transatlantic round, while on the Fronthaul trade rates concluded at USD 45.000 per day. On the cargoes ex ECSA, rates decreased a bit at USD 28.00pmt basis Tubarao/Qingdao.

In the Pacific region, activity remained high with iron ore majors covering about 13 vessels, and rates improved up to USD 12.00pmt for the West Australia trade. Owners could also look at alternative trades, ex Richards bay, with timecharter rates at the range of USD 25.000per day basis N.China delivery”.

On the panamax front, Fearnley’s mentioned that “the week started off with holidays in China, Korea and Hong Kong. This lead to a very quiet start to the week with slow activity in both hemispheres. In the Atlantic we can see a well balanced market with spot- and ballasting tonnage covering most of the upcomming cargoes and again leading to a flat market. The Tarvs are getting fixed in region of USD 14k while the fronthauls are fetching around USD 21,500. In the Far East we have been experiencing a stable climb in rates for the last couple of weeks with rounds now being fixed at around USD 14k daily. It is the second time this year we see the same round trip rates for both the Pacific and Atlantic basin. The period market has again regained strength with several fixtures being reported for both shorter and longer periods. A typical 4/6 months fixture for an LME with delivery N.China concludes at around USD 14k, while 1-year deals are being fixed at around 13,500. Backhaul rates kept stable at low USD 5000.

On a similar mould, Shiptrade said that “in the Atlantic region, week began quietly with softening rates as there were not many enquiries. Rates for Transatlantic round began from USD 14.00 per day and eventually concluded at levels around USD 13.500 per day towards weeks closing. On the Fronthaul trade rates declined as ECSA is not as strong as it used to be, but USG still remains at good levels, with fixtures reported at USD 23.850 per day + 450.000 ballast bonus on a BPI type vessel for a trip to F.East.

The Pacific region the feeling was more positive as Indonesia came back to full operation, and many fresh enquiries came on the market from E.C Australia and NOPAC. Rates for Pacific round began from USD 13.000per day for vessels open N.China, or USD 14.000per day basis passing Taiwan. Rates for trips Ex Nopac increased at rates around USD 14.000 per day basis N.china/Japan range (M/V Francesco Corrado 77061/08’)” said the shipbroker.

As for the Supramax markets, Shiptrade commented that “the market seems to be calming down after a few weeks of rapid increase. In the Atlantic basin, the USG region is slowing down with fewer cargoes coming into the market. Rates dropped slightly with fixtures reported at USD high 20’s per day for trip to F.East, and USD mid 20’s for trip to East Mediterranean. On the ECSA, rates for trips back to Continent/Mediterranean were at USD 14-15.000 basis W.Africa delivery, while for trips to F.East some fixtures reported at USD 21.000per day. In the pacific, the market remained a bit quiet with not many new enquires. Owners were feeling nervous and had to lower their ideas. There were coal parcels with the majority of them destined to India. Rates for trips to India were at USD 11-12.000per day. Vessels open in N.China/ Japan were candidates for NOPAC but rates not exceeding USD 9.000 per day, eventhough there was not much activity” concluded the shipbroker’s report.
Source:
Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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