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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 12 November 11
BBJ WILL RELEASE A COAL CONTRACT
Jakarta Futures Exchange will soon release a coal futures contracts during the quarter 1 / 2012.
Director of the Jakarta Futures Exchange (BBJ) S ...
Saturday, 12 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET REGAINS SOME OF THE LOST GROUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market managed to edge forward yesterday, putting an end and halting the losses accumulated over the course of the past weeks, which ha ...
Friday, 11 November 11
PETROCOM ENERGY PLANS $40M TO BUILD COAL PLANT IN CILEGON - JP
The Jakarta Post reported that, Hong Kong-based Petrocom Energy Ltd has unveiled plans to invest up to US$40 million on a proposed coal-blending fac ...
Friday, 11 November 11
GOVT WAITS LEGAL DECISION ON BUKIT ASAM, ADARO DISPUTE - JP
The Jakarta Post reported that, The government says that it will not interfere in the settlement process of the dispute between state coal miner PT ...
Thursday, 10 November 11
INDONESIAN REFERENCE COAL PRICE FELL AGAIN
COALspot.com - Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia has set the November 2011 Indonesian Coal Reference Price for thermal coal at U ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
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