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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 07 March 12
ASSESS ASIAS POTENTIAL, DEVELOPMENTS AND APPETITE FOR SHALE AT SHALE GAS SUMMIT
Press Release - Assess Asia’s Potential, Developments and Appetite for Shale at Shale Gas Summit on 23-24 Apr, 2012 in Beijing
China is rep ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
3RD MOZAMBIQUE COAL CONFERENCE
3rd Mozambique Coal Conference
2-4 July 2012 | Joaquim Chissano International Conference Centre , Maputo, Mozambique
http://www.immevents.com/mo ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS UP TIMID REBOUND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept its rising momentum yesterday, rising for the eighth straight session, on the back of renewed demand for smaller bulk c ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
BUKIT ASAM EYES 39% RISE IN COAL SALES - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Bukit Asam Tbk is scouting a 39% increase in coal sales volume to 18.66 million tons this year from last year with ...
Wednesday, 07 March 12
PETROSEA SEALS US$188 MIO CONTRACT - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal mining contractor PT Petrosea Tbk has secured a US$188 million additional contract from its affiliated firm PT S ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Minerals Council of Australia
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