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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 18 March 12
BUKIT ASAM'S NET PROFIT IN 2011 ROSE 54% TO US$ 339.56 MILLION
COALspot.com - Company revenue for the period January - December 2011 amounting to Rp 10.6 trillion (approximately US$ 1,164,835,164.84) recorded an ...
Saturday, 17 March 12
THE FREIGHT RATES FOR INDONESIA TO INDIA REMAINED FIRM - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com - The market continued to be firm and all segments were up except for Cape Index which was down by 2.46 pct closing at 1,466 points.
...
Saturday, 17 March 12
INDIAN GOVT FINALIZES DRAFT BILL FOR COAL REGULATOR - PTI
The coal sector would soon get a regulator as the government has finalised a draft bill for the purpose, Coal Minister Sriprakash Jaiswal said Wedne ...
Friday, 16 March 12
THE PACIFIC MARKET IS FIRMING UP - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
A slightly positive trend was seen last week in the Atlantic. Skaw-Passero deliveries fixed around USD 3k to US Gulf, while US Gulf deliveres ...
Thursday, 15 March 12
RAINS AVERAGE SELLING PRICE OF COAL WENT UP BY 22 % IN 2011
COALspot.com - PT. Resource Alam Indonesia Tbk, an Indonesian CCoW (3rd Generation) holder reported Wednesday a 171 percent increase in net profits ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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