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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 08 May 12
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR NEW DIRECTION THIS WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) the main benchmark of the dry bulk shipping industry not traded at the start of this week, traders, charterers and s ...
Monday, 07 May 12
INDONESIAN HBA FALL AGAIN IN MAY 2012
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fall again to lowest level since January 2011 in May 2012. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales in Ma ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL & CFR SOUTH CHINA SWAPS SLIGHTLY DROP THIS WEEK
COALspot.com - Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swaps and CFR South China coal contracts for June deliveries slightly dropped this week.
According ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
S7 & S8 ROUTES LIKELY TO BE FIRM NEXT WEEK VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com - The BDI remained flat this week and was up just by 1 point closing at 1,157 points.
The cape size index was up by 5.14 pct closing ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
EXPORT DUTY ON MINERAL FINALLY TO BECOME EFFECTIVE NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com - Mineral ore exporters of Indonesia ( only IUP holders) are required to obtain recommendation letter from the energy and mineral ...
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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