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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 01 June 12
COKAL ACCEPTED ON THE CLEAN AND CLEAR LIST FOR ITS BORNEO BARA PRIMA AND BUMI BARITO MINERAL PROJECTS
- Borneo Bara Prima (BBP) Project confirmed on the Clean and Clear List 9th May 2012
- Bumi Barito Mineral (BBM) Project confirmed on the Clean and ...
Friday, 01 June 12
ADARO BUYS MAJORITY STAKE IN AFFILIATED BHAKTI ENERGI - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Adaro Energy Tbk entered into an option to provide a convertible loan of up to US$500 million for a period of 3 ye ...
Thursday, 31 May 12
DRY BULK MARKET UNABLE TO FIND NEW SUPPORT TO REACH HIGHER LEVELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has been unable to find new support and recover to higher levels during these past few days. As a result, the Baltic Dry Index ( ...
Wednesday, 30 May 12
ORPHEUS RAISES $2.24M TO ADVANCE INDONESIAN COAL PRODUCTION ASSETS
• $2.24 million raised from a placement to new and existing institutional and sophisticated investors from Australia and overseas
• Funds ...
Wednesday, 30 May 12
ARPENI SECURES TRANSSHIPMENT CONTRACT FROM BARUNA DIRGA
Insider Stories reported that, shipping operator PT Arpeni Pratama Ocean Line Tbk (APOL) has secured a 1-year coal transhipment contract of 4 millio ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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