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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 06 November 12
NOVEMBER 2012 HBA $35.21 LOWER THAN A YEAR AGO
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government’s declared coal reference price for November’ 12 has lost US$ 4.60 per MT M-o-M.
...
Sunday, 04 November 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FOR DECEMBER' 12 DELIVERY FALLS TO $ 59.78
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for December 2012 delivery fell -1.02 percent on WoW but gained 0.08 percent on D-D on Friday, 2 ...
Saturday, 03 November 12
THE SUPRAMAX FREIGHT EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the market remained soft with all the sectors soft.
The BDI and was down by 6 pct closing at 986 points. The cape index ...
Saturday, 03 November 12
DEMOLITION IS THE KEY FOR DRY BULK SHIPPING'S RECOVERY SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With the number of new building deliveries so far in 2012 already having surpassed the total of 2011, it's more than clear that the dry bulk sector ...
Thursday, 01 November 12
INDONESIA HAS REVISED DOWN ITS 2012 DOMESTIC MARKET OBLIGATION REQUIREMENT FOR COAL
COALspot.com - Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia has revised down its 2012 domestic market obligation requirement due to lower d ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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