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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 19 November 12
GOVT PREPARES TO FACE ANOTHER SUIT ON MINING LAW - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is gearing up to face a complaint on the 2009 Mining Law prepared by the same organization that previously brought down upstream oil ...
Monday, 19 November 12
IHS MCCLOSKEY ASIA PACIFIC COAL OUTLOOK CONFERENCE 2012
With the current global oversupply of thermal coal showing no signs of abating and spot prices falling to a two-year low, concerns are growing that ...
Sunday, 18 November 12
INDONESIAN SUB BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS FOR JANUARY 2013 DELIVERY GAINS 1.29 PERCENT WOW
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for January 2013 delivery gains 1.29 percent WoW and 0.25 percent DoD on Friday, 16 Novembe ...
Saturday, 17 November 12
THE SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE UP NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week market sentiments ended positive with all the segments ending higher except for handy size which was almost at same levels ...
Saturday, 17 November 12
RECORD DEMOLITION ACTIVITY SEEKS TO CURB TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
This year will prove to be another record-breaker in terms of scrapping of older vessels across all shipping segments, as the equally feverish pace ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Planning Commission, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
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