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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 03 January 13
DRY BULK DEMAND TO KEEP RISING IN 2013, DRY BULK SHIP PRICES TO KEEP FALLING SAYS ANALYST - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In a recent report on the future of the shipping markets, DVB bank said that dry bulk demand is expected to keep on growing in the coming years, mai ...
Wednesday, 02 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 23.61 PERCENT MORE COAL W-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,533,183 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 31 December 2012, Newc ...
Wednesday, 02 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET TO STAY ELEVATED IN START OF 2013 BUT THE NEW YEAR WILL NOT BE WITHOUT TURBULENCE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its regular update on the dry bulk market, BIMCO forecasted, that Capesize time-charter rates are expected to stay elevated in the following six ...
Monday, 31 December 12
KOSEP IS LOOKING FOR 280K MT OF 4600 NCV COAL FOR APRIL - JUNE 2013
COALspot.com : South Korean state-owned utility Korea South-East Power Co., Ltd. (KOSEP), has issued an new tender for prompt supply of 280,00 ...
Monday, 31 December 12
VALE CELEBRATES ARRIVAL OF "VALE SOHAR" BULK CARRIER TO SULTANATE WITH MEMBERS OF COMMUNITY
'Vale Sohar', one of the largest bulk carriers in the world, was welcomed to Oman by members of the North Al Batinah community headed by H.E. Shei ...
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The University of Queensland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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