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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 15 January 13
GRANT SMITH APPOINTED GROUP MANAGING DIRECTOR OF BRAEMAR ADJUSTING
The Board of Braemar Adjusting is delighted to announce the appointment of Grant Smith as Group Managing Director of the company with immediate effe ...
Tuesday, 15 January 13
2ND MYANMAR MINING SUMMIT & OFFICIAL HOST MINISTRY OF MINES TO WELCOME OVER 200 DELEGATES NEXT WEEK
Press Release: The Ministry of Mines is hosting the 2nd Myanmar Mining Summit in Yangon on 21-24 January to unravel the local mining climate, prospe ...
Monday, 14 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 2.32 PERCENT LESS COAL W/E 14 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 3,123,312 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 14 January 2013, Newca ...
Monday, 14 January 13
THE COAL MONGOLIA - 2013 OFFICIALLY IN COOPERATION WITH TOP MINING COMPANIES
Press Release: Mongolian first mining portal site Mining.mn has already started its preparation of the International Conference “COAL MONGOLIA ...
Monday, 14 January 13
NTPC INVITES BIDS FOR 500K MT OF IMPORTED COAL
COALspot.com - NTPC Limited (formerly National Thermal Power Corporation) is the largest Indian state-owned electric utilities company called for a ...
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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