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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 07 October 13
SGX - CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS END ALMOST FLAT
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Monday, 07 October 13
Q3'14 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 6.53% HIGHER THAN Q4'13
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery gained 0.53 % on day and fell 2.33 percept month on month ...
Sunday, 06 October 13
DRY BULK FREIGHT MARKET STAYS STEADY IN SPITE CHINESE HOLIDAYS - SOLYM CARRIERS SINGAPORE
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to remain firm in spite of Chinese holidays.
The BDI closed at 2,084 points on Friday 4 October or up ...
Saturday, 05 October 13
CAPESIZE EARNINGS SKYROCKET AS A RESULT OF INCREASED CHINA DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
An increased iron ore demand has triggered this latest dry bulk rally, which could get yet another boost during next week, when China is expected to ...
Friday, 04 October 13
NICKEL ORE SHIPMENTS - LESSONS LEARNED FROM LOSSES
One of the most pressing problems for the bulk shipping industry is the safe carriage of nickel ore. The increasing demand for this commodity is fue ...
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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