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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 15 November 13
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.59% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 15 November 13
TAIWAN'S PLASTICS GROUP FORMOSA TO IMPORT 1.37 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR Q1' 14
COALspot.com: Taiwan's Formosa Plastics Group is inviting bids for total 1.37 million mt of coal for 1Q’ 14 for its various plants in Taiwan, ...
Thursday, 14 November 13
KOMIPO TO BUY 270K MT OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2' 14
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International Open Bidding for 140,000 Metric Tons (MT) of sub-bituminous coal ...
Thursday, 14 November 13
PANAMAX : MARKET SHOULD BE AROUND USD 11500 FOR 1 YEAR - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market has picked up this week with prompt ships able USG for November dates coming off and chrts need to pay up in order to cov ...
Wednesday, 13 November 13
Y'14 SUB-BIT INDO COAL SWAP MOVING AT SNAIL-SPEED
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’2014 delivery gained 2.95 percept month on month on Friday ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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