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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 27 November 13
SHIP OWNERS ONCE AGAIN TURN TO DRY BULK CARRIERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Ship owners once again turned to more dry bulk carrier ordering over the course of the past week, as more and more appear convinced of the industry ...
Tuesday, 26 November 13
EWP INVITES COAL BIDS FOR 2014 - 2018 DELIVERIES
COALspot.com: Korea East-West Power Co. Ltd (EWP) invited bids to supply 130,000MT of min 5,600kcal/kg (Sub)-bituminous Coal on NCV basis for March ...
Tuesday, 26 November 13
NEWCASTLE COAL EXPORTS SLIP 22.62% W-W
COALspot.com: In the week ended November 25, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 2.26 ...
Monday, 25 November 13
THE SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP MOVEMENT IN YEAR 2014 IS STILL FAR FROM PROMISING
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained $ 2.54 pmt month on month on Friday 22 Novemb ...
Sunday, 24 November 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FOR Q4' 14 DELIVERY PRICE SHOWS A NEGATIVE TREND WEEK ON WEEK AND FLAT ON D-D
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery gained 0.13 percept d-d on Friday 22 November 2013. The CFR South ...
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- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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