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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 30 December 13
INDONESIAN COAL TO BE PART OF INDEX DETERMINING POWER TARIFFS - BUSINESS STANDARD
In a significant move, power sector regulator CERC has decided to provide 50 per cent weightage for Indonesian coal in the benchmark index that is u ...
Friday, 27 December 13
THE EXPORT OF UNPROCESSED MINERALS WOULD NOT BE ALLOWED AFTER 12 JAN 2014 - INDONESIAN ENERGY MINISTER
COALspot.com: The government of Indonesia will implement Law No. 4 of 2009 on Mineral and Coal in full and consistently by January 12, 2014, said, m ...
Friday, 27 December 13
INDONESIA SHIPPED 15.75 PERCENT MORE COAL IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's 4th largest coal producer and the largest multi grade coal exporter shipped over $2* billion worth of co ...
Thursday, 26 December 13
COAL & OIL GROUP SECURES US$ 250 MILLION FUNDING FOR ITS 1200MW THERMAL POWER PLANT IN INDIA
COALspot.com: Dubai-based Coal & Oil (C&O) Group has announced that it has secured additional funding of approximately Dhs. 1 billion (appro ...
Wednesday, 25 December 13
DRY BULK INDEX LOST SOME GROUND THIS PAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
Chartering (Wet: Firm+ / Dry: Softer - )
The Dry Bulk Index lost some ground this past week, on the back of activity slowing down befor ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
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