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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 04 March 14
AUSTRALIA'S NPC TO SHIP 11.85 MMT OF COAL IN MARCH
COALspot.com: In the week ended 3 March 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, total 3.15 m ...
Tuesday, 04 March 14
HIGHER PRICES AND STEADY FREIGHT RATES LEAD SHIP OWNERS TO TEMPORARILY HALT SECOND HAND VESSEL PURCHASES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the dry bulk market has kept on improving, but at a very slow rate, ship owners have elected to take a step back from the flurry of the S&P m ...
Monday, 03 March 14
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP (FOB) FOR AVERAGE Q115 CLOSED AT $60.28, $ 1.70 HIGHER THAN 2Q14
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 slightly corrected do ...
Monday, 03 March 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA SWAPS: Q4' 2014 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 1.40 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2' 2014 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 1.90 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.27 per mt as on Fr ...
Monday, 03 March 14
COSTS LIABILITY PASSING DOWN A CHARTERPARTY CHAIN - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Provided that charterparties are on back to back terms, and the claim is successful, liability for costs incurred shoul ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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