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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 14 April 14
CHINA'S MEASURES TO STIMULATE ECONOMY'S GROWTH COULD OFFER ROOM FOR STABILITY IN SHIPPING MARKETS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Since the outbreak of the 2008-crisis, the shipping industry, in most of its aspects, i.e. dry bulk and tanker markets alike, has been dealing w ...
Sunday, 13 April 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT MARKET DECLINE CONTINUES
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to drop this week and BDI almost touched 1000 points. BDI closed at 1002 points fell 16.85 pct week o ...
Saturday, 12 April 14
HOW DO YOU CALCULATE LOSS OF EARNINGS FOLLOWING A COLLISION? - INCE & CO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The recent case of Astipalaia vs Hanjin Shenzhen [2014] EWHC 120 (Admlty) has revisited the existing case law on asses ...
Friday, 11 April 14
US COAL PRODUCTION IN MARCH INCREASED 9.69% TO 82.6 MMST MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.10 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 10 April 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS RISING CLAIMS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the recent fall of the Baltic Dry Index (BDI), when one compares the first quarter of 2014, to similar quarters of the recent past, it i ...
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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