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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 21 January 22
CHINA'S POWER TRADING TARIFFS TO RISE IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
Rising trading volume and higher-than-benchmark tariffs in the 2022 bilateral contracts signed between Chinese power generation companies (gencos) ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
CHINESE COAL JUMPS OVER 6% ON PRE-HOLIDAY SUPPLY WORRY - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal futures soared more than 6% on Wednesday, hitting a level last seen in late November as investors grew concerned over ti ...
Thursday, 20 January 22
VIETNAM: COAL SECTOR SEES POSITIVE PROSPECT IN 2022 - VNA
With many signs of rising demand for coal in various economic sectors in 2022, the Vietnam National Coal – Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomi ...
Wednesday, 19 January 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Since the beginning of the year, we have been witnessing the BDI correcting downwards with sizable drops across all segments. Latest similar levels ...
Sunday, 09 January 22
INDONESIA MINISTER SAYS 'EMERGENCY OVER' ON COAL SUPPLY CRUNCH - REUTERS
Indonesia’s power emergency which has triggered a coal export ban is over but the government will still continue to discuss policies in this ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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