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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 28 July 14
Q3' 14, SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP GAINED $ 0.08 DAY ON DAY AND $ 0.68 WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 increased by just US$ 0.08 day on day and US$ 0.68 week on week. The swap was lost U ...
Monday, 28 July 14
S. KOREA'S KOSPO SEEKS 148K T OF 4700 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co Ltd (KOSPO) is seeking 148,000 tonnes of 4,700 kcal/kg NCV steaming coal for shipment between October to Nove ...
Monday, 28 July 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY UP WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: Coal price falling is continues as the impact oversupply and lower demand. The swap for Q3, Q4 and Q1 2015 showing slight improvement ...
Sunday, 27 July 14
RAMADAN HOLIDAYS IN INDONESIA PUTTING PRESSURE ON CHARTER RATES FROM INDONESIA - VISTAAR INDIA
COALspot.com: The freight rates were almost steady as very slight improvement in BDI by about 1 pct. The BDI was at 739 points after improvin ...
Saturday, 26 July 14
COAL MINING COMPANIES CLOSED TEMPORARILY - THE JAKARTA POST
The Sarolangun regency administration in Jambi has suspended the operations of 10 coal mining companies in line with a circular issued by Regent Ce ...
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- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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- Anglo American - United Kingdom
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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